56 hours until the polls open with a leader is campaigning for every single one of your votes, but what is really going on behind the scenes? welcome to newsnight, for your nightly interviews and insight. and we will bring both to you on the week when you decide who s going to run our country for the next five years. tonight, we have the man who compiles the exit poll which you will see at 10pm this thursday on the bbc one election programme, professor sirjohn curtice. that should give you us, we hope the first accurate forecast of the election result. we also we have harriet harman, former labour minister, former labour deputy leader and an mp for over a0 years, standing down this time. and we have sir craig oliver, former director of communications for prime minister david cameron. welcome. and nick is here as always. cards on the table, i m after numbers, sir craig oliver, what would be a best and worst case scenario for the conservatives politically this thursday? the
after aggressively raising interest rates for the last year and a half, the federal reserve believes it s in a place where it can leave rates, where they are to cool the economy and to slow inflation from its current 3.7% on a yearly basis to closer to 2%. but even though america s central bank opted not to hike right now, fed chairjerome powell suggested officials are prepared to do more if inflation flares again. the idea that you wouldn t would difficult to to raise again after stopping for a meeting or two is just not right. i mean, the committee will always do what what it thinks is appropriate at the time. right now, things look good, even though it s pricey for americans to get a mortgage or carry credit card debt. growth was stronger than expected over the summer. the world s largest economy is still adding jobs on a monthly basis. and the government s latestjobs report is due out this friday. fed staff also don t see a recession, so they don t want to rock the boat,