missouri, indiana. you had each different pollsters saying in the media that one would say the republican was going to win and one would say the democrat is going to win. the media, they basically they never say they are sorry. they put out wrong polls. laura: it s the only profession i know of where you can be consistently wrong. not just pollsters. pundits if you are a basketball coach and you have a losing season after losing season, you are done. maybe you go coach high school. but what is different this time, tom, that you are seeing in the polls that you saw last time? i want to go back to the polls in 2016, the polls in 2016 were better than what was in previous cycles. what was bad with the pundits who were all over the place saying this was absolutely a locked race for hillary clinton. when it was actually much, much more competitive. there was data to support that. laura: but build the wall, the big waterloo in pennsylvania, i love sitting at
error. sandra: and kristin fisher in columbus, ohio, thank you. joining me now is tom bevins, cofounder of real clear politics. what should we be watching? this all comes down to turn out. and as a reporter just mentioned, the suburbs of columbus, franklin county which is where a third of the vote would be cast in 2016, that s the area where balderson president trump did the worst. while education suburbanite wel. that s where balderson has to really he needs a rural vote obviously but he needs to have votes in that area as well if he wants to pull the race out and it s going to be very, very close.
moment, trump s top diplomat is a thousand miles away like it s a sin. the purpose of the visit is to security the release of three american prisoners. the times is not impressed by that. mike pompeo works for trump so it must be bad. what ever else he s done, trump has driven the democratic party off the deep end and it s showing in the polls. and christy, you ve been around the democratic party a long time. she joins us tonight. you ve heard tom bevins saying their message is not getting automatic. truth is it s bad. it s more of an animal reaction. whatever the message is, it s working. look at the congressional and state elections since november 2016. democrats have flipped 40 plus seats at the state legislative. often in districts where trump won by 20 or 30 points. so we can quibble and the
from 2018 and can hurt democrats. steve: tom a moment ago you said don t don t read too much into what we see in these special elections because they are special and unique. what does it say about the president s presidency at this point that he has won four in a row? well, look, and trump can take credit for this. because certainly if the result had been different on tuesday, he would have been blamed for that he mentioned that last night in his speech. that s absolutely true. it would have been the apocalypse for republicans and his presidency. he can take credit for that the reality is, you know, trump s presidency, he is his approval ratings are low in some of these, you know, in some of these districts. and so it s too early to say what this means for his presidency, but certainly is a benefit for him that republicans pulled it out on tuesday. steve: all right. real clear politics is what he founded tom bevins, we thank you very much for joining us from chicago today. thank yo
0 time. you talk about cash for clunkers i thought it was the obama care, it is really become a disaster. i couldn t resist. i got ya. and to the bigger point, you watch all over america. medium size or big or small. sure. you say they are in a holding pater and suggest they are in limbbo when it comes to hiring. what are they worried about? what is the next shoe to drop and doing next. and that is number one concern of these businesses is washington and obama care and how i will deal with. this it is a state of crisis influx among the small businessmen. we are only two months from the start of the year. businesses don t know what the health care plan is going to be. suspended or delayed or additional costs they are going to face? as economist one of the things that is holding back the jobs and economy is uncertainty. what is happening next? no one knows what the white house will do about obama care. the law could continue to change or evolve or whatever word you want to use,