if you look at the generic ballot pose, it little bit in the weeds, but our best indicator of where things stand in the battle for control of the house, democrats hit their highest watermark hit in the past 451 days. but tom the numbers have been going up. hear me out, hear me. i agree with you. i understand that wasn t that close to the impact like that s kind of when, for like a better term, the bomb went off. so it was closer to what s happened, as we get further away from the shot of that event of roe being overturned, you don t think that will also have an impact of people sort of lose interest, and they may not be as motivated? i think what we are seeing is the shock continues. when you see lindsey graham talking about actually filing a bill for a national federal abortion ban, the issue is going away, we are seeing stories of being denied basic health care. and so what we are seeing is not only the voter registration still surging among women and
police. that is all happening with less than 50 days with both democrats and republicans hone in on what they are considering winning issues for voters, for more, i want to bring in political commentators scott jennings, also tom banyard, is a democratic political strategist and ceo of data and polling of the data and polling firm target smart. good evening to both of you. tom, let start with you. it s a tale of two elections here, each side focusing on different issues, democrats, abortion and democracy, republicans, inflation, crime, inflation. which party has the upper hand right now, does any of them have the upper hand? the fact that you are even asking this question at this point, a month ago it went up in a question. republicans are were on their way to an easy win. and i don t think you could find many people with who would disagree. we saw, look, the history was in midterm elections, the party that is not the white house, that isn t and control winds
younger voters, there are some states that are actually beginning the process of voting. states like georgia, or pennsylvania, voters can request ballots already. what we are seeing in those states is that democrats and women are requesting democrats ballots at a much higher rate in the past elections. including 2020. is that where scott, i ll give you the last word not really, i mean on the crime issue what you started with on that question, you are seeing this play out as individual races like pennsylvania, wisconsin, where republicans are going heavily into the up research bile on fetterman and barnes. so i do think that salient, and i think it s too little too late on the dams. on the abortion question, i disagree with tom. i actually think graham s position is fairly defensible. 15 weeks in the three exceptions, it gives any republican a reasonable position to latch onto. and if you are willing to lean into, but again, i ll go back to where it started. that s not where the r