runoff today? he can but let s look at each side s advantages. first of all the polls. these are the polls that have been conducted since the end of november. warnock up by five, up by 4, 3, 2, 3. real clear politics average 3.5. he has led in every poll and every poll has been inside the margin of error. this indicates a small but persistent lead for warnock. the turnout in the early voting, 1.9 million is way down from november but it is a pretty significant sum and let s just put it in perspective. if today s vote is a million plus, and let s assume that warnock s lead is ten points in the early vote, then walker has to win today s vote by 20 points in order to eke out a victory. here is his advantage. there have been 11 runoffs, georgia is this odd state that
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