understand, you know, it is gonna be friday saturday before we know. because this looks like it s gonna be really really tight. and there s two things, dasha talked about the ticket splitters, clearly exist in pennsylvania. so the shapiro margin is gonna be important, if that gets high enough, there s not gonna be enough tickets for mehmet oz. rich mentioned the activist in mastriano. i would be looking very carefully, i don t think it s gonna be a lot of voters. but there may be some republicans who vote for mastriano and don t vote for us. and you know, if it s ten or 20,000 people that can make a difference, in a race like this there s nuances are gonna be really important. let me ask you, each just a quick question here is kind of a big picture. looking about the map here when it comes to the senate, rich all start with you. a stay, if you could give me a
look at some of these candidates that are just, again, i m trying to find the words, they re just wacky. and some people are voting on one side and then flipping over to the other side, but it shows for a lot of voters it s not about ideology, it s about who they like and who they think will represent them, who will fight for them. in an era of extreme partisanship, ticket splitters are backed this time in part because of candidate quality as you said. we re seeing it in a couple different states in particular. georgia, where governor kemp is well ahead of stacey abrams there, but the senate race is tight. most experts on both sides believe it will go to a runoff in december. pennsylvania another. we ve been talking about attorney general shapiro, helping mastriano, to the point that mehmet oz, the republican, is targeting ads to try to get independents who are leaning
republicans than kelly does doing among democrats in the senate race. republicans are targeting a universe of about 110,000 households where they ve identified a 2018 republican voter and another voter in the house who didn t have the ballot and they re trying to say hey, vote for masters. kind of the upward pressure of dragging masters up. in the georgia senate race, there s also a universe of voters that the super pac called 34 and 22 was identified, about 300,000 soft republicans, people who might stay home, who might vote for the libertarian candidate, might even switch and split tickets with warnock, the democratic senator in the race. what they re doing is reaching out to them by digital, by mail, by phone call and text to try to get them to come back into the republican fold, not split the ticket and to show up. it s fascinating, jonathan, ticket splitters that you
some of those perhaps those biden voters in 2020 kind of back into the republican column because they see sununu and may be willing to take a chance on the republican. then there s the issue of split ticketing. mark, you have new reporting on a closing strategy some candidates are oling out in the final days of their campaigns, appealing to voters who are considering contenders from different parties for office. what more can you tell us about ticket splitters? well, they re a phenomenon. and you ve got both a ticket splitter phenomenon and kind of a no-show phenomenon, and you re really seeing it in the two reb races in arizona the senate candidates i should say arizona and georgia. blake masters, if you look at the polling for republicans, fabrizio, a republican pollster, his survey showed blake masters was doing worse among
as united states senator and he will. tom, you ve been following the pennsylvania voting very closely, the early returns at least, and when i was in pittsburgh last week, the allegheny county officials and local congressmen were telling me there s been a huge early vote and they believe a lot of it is democratic. what are you seeing? it s really remarkable what we re seeing in the early vote really around the country. we talk about pennsylvania. we know the early vote was very democratic in 2020 in pennsylvania. it was a big part of how joe biden carried the state. this is remarkable. pennsylvania s one of the few state where is the democratic share of the early vote right now is actually bigger than it was in 2020 so there s a good sign for democrats. fetterman. and we re seeing similar things around it had country. it s consistent with a very close battle between each side for control of congress. no way to know whether these are democratic ticket splitters. people concerned ab