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[Guoxin Securities non-ferrous metal electrolytic aluminum industry quick review: the supply side is increasingly vulnerable to two main lines] Guoxin Nonferrous View: there is no accumulation of aluminum ingots before the Spring Festival this year, there are structural factors in the short term, that is, there are fewer aluminum ingots and more bars. In the long run, the supply end of electrolytic aluminum with high energy consumption is becoming more and more fragile as a result of the general trend of carbon reduction and emission reduction, which is reflected in foreign countries, the shortage of energy in Europe leads to the reduction of electrolytic aluminum production and the long-term underinvestment in new production capacity, and in China, it is the transformation of electrolytic aluminum from the past "coal-electricity-aluminum" mode to "water-electricity-aluminum" mode. Hydroelectric power generation has obvious seasonality, and the resumption of electro

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