more fair and more equal and more free. the time to stand up to this growing left wing tyranny is right now. so now it s all up to the voters. and most of them say inflation is issue number one. i like to drive everywhere, but these gas prices are crazy. 6 1/2 dollars for a pound of hamburger, that s a lot of money. and president trump fires the first shots across the 2024 gop bow. mike pence at 7. mike s doing better than i thought. inside politics, the biggest stories sourced by the best reporters now. welcome to inside politics sunday, i m abby phillip. we are now t minus two days until one of the most hotly contested midterms of our lifetimes, and turnout could exceed the midterm records set in 2018, and by one estimate, nearly $17 billion have already been spent. republicans, they may be favored to win the house, but who controls the senate could hinge on voters in pennsylvania. so that is why president biden, former presidents obama and trump were all
i want to just remind you the opposite happens in arizona. it shifts the other way. so again, we ll use the 2020 example here. first votes come in, joe biden had a huge lead, 54-44. take a look. wednesday, at noon, 93,000 lead for joe biden. i m now on thursday, november 5th at noon. his lead is down to 68,000. skip ahead to one week after the election. tuesday, november 10th, joe biden s lead is down to 14,000. we did not call arizona until ten days after and his lead went down to 11,000. all of that late arriving mail, all that election day mail that got dropped off was in trump s favor, and he was closing the gap. look, it s going to be close probably in both of these states but several other states as well. if you re looking at the picture in the house of representatives, early in the night, we could have some good clues as to where this is all headed, what kind of situation we re looking at. a red trickle, a red wave, a