basically, what was each campaign hoping to achieve through tonight s debate, and what are they saying afterwards about whether they achieved it? going into the debate night, we were expecting to hear herschel walker make an aggressive push to try and tie senator warnock to president joe biden. joe biden does not have a very high approval rating in the state, in a poll, by the agency, back in september, among lightly georgia voters. the president s approval rating overall was 37%. we ve seen walker do that throughout the campaign, when i was speaking to sources close to the walker campaign. they were adamant that he was going to aggressively make that point tonight. we saw him try to bring that up a number of times. warnock s rebuttal to that was he said something along the lines of, it is clear to me that my candidate would like to be running against anyone, except for me. on warnock s side, we expected to see him come in and highlight a lot of the work he has already done in washin
on paper, is the most ripe pick up opportunity for republicans, if they could get that, and hold all of their seats they currently have, that would give them control of the senate. right now, the biggest problem that republicans have, we mentioned this last block, pennsylvania. pat toomey, republican, retiring, but it s a republican seat, this is the only republican seat where democrats, john fetterman, currently leading the polling average. right now, republicans on the polling average, best position to get to the game you are looking for in nevada, democrats best position to offset it in pennsylvania, that s what raises the stakes, potentially, in georgia. if herschel walker were ever able to overcome warnock there, if it ever came down to a runoff, and potentially that could be decisive. that s what makes a state like ohio, we re north carolina such a potential wildcard. folks have been looking at ohio the entire campaign, wondering when will the polls break advances direction. this
state, and you have to disqualify the republican candidates, saying they re not going to do anything to fix the economy. they re going to share the rich with tax cuts, and not look after working people. you have to bring these other issues into the races, where you have an advantage, abortion, health care, democracy, and i think that s what you have. you have, obviously, a tough economy as voters see, it a president in power, historically know that what happened with a powerful force, but the opposing power force is post-dobbs, democracy, republican brand is not particularly strong, trump is hanging around. that s what a thing as up to close races. one caveat is, when you show the congressional ballot, yes, it s only 0. 9, but they re still about 9% of the people who are professing their decision, and so how that group breaks is going to be super important. in 14, we saw a lot broke republican. if you are democrat, i think you have to watch that carefully. who is left out there? ultima
aggressive push to try and tie senator warnock to president joe biden. joe biden does not have a very high approval rating in the state, in a poll, by the agency, back in september, among lightly georgia voters. the president s approval rating overall was 37%. we ve seen walker do that throughout the campaign, when i was speaking to sources close to the walker campaign. they were adamant that he was going to aggressively make that point tonight. we saw him try to bring that up a number of times. warnock s rebuttal to that was he said something along the lines of, it is clear to me that my candidate would like to be running against anyone, except for me. on warnock s side, we expected to see him come in and highlight a lot of the work he has already done in washington, d. c., work he says is directly helping voters here in georgia. also highlight some of the bipartisan legislation that he has worked on. we saw him do that tonight. it was a very interesting, quick, back and forth debate,
they have not been really evenly distributed. they haven t been every state missing the same way. there s been one particular region in the country where the misses, the gap between where the polling is and where the election results and up, that s the midwest. with that in mind, there are two states in particular that are crucial to that battle for senate control this year. where there were some significant polling. this was both in 2016, and in 2020. they are ohio and wisconsin. i want to show you this. this is in 2020. this is what the final poll average look like in each one of those states. ohio has that big senate race this year. j. d. vance, tim ryan. wisconsin had the senate race, we were just talking about it. mandela barnes, ron johnson. the final numbers in 2020, the average, trump was leading ohio by one point. we were talking about could biden win ohio. biden seemed to be in control and wisconsin, 6. 7 was his average lead. there was a poll that had him up 17 points, close