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Calculated Risk: Philly Fed Manufacturing growth was less widespread in December, Kansas City Fed Activity Expanded Further

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, but growth was less widespread, according to firms responding to the December Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey’s current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments remained positive for the seventh consecutive month but fell notably from their readings in November. Some future indexes also moderated this month but continue to indicate that firms expect growth over the next six months. The diffusion index for current activity fell 15 points to 11.1 in December, its lowest positive reading following its fall to long-term lows in April and May. On balance, fewer firms reported increases in manufacturing employment this month. The current employment index has remained positive for six consecutive months but decreased 19 points to 8.5 in December.

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