Let me begin with the numbers in the research you have been looking at. As you look at the trends tonight, what do they tell you . Dr. Mokdad we peaked on april 10 and they are coming down for the whole country but there are many states that are still going up and others are going down. Host how do you do your study . Dr. Mokdad we decided to model mortality on a daily basis and we used experience we have seen in china, italy, and spain. We reverse engineered the mortality how many beds we will need in the hospital and how many ventilators. So we know in the United States how many patients were admitted. Host at one point there was an expectation we could have 230,000 deaths and that number has come down, correct . Dr. Mokdad true. Our numbers have always been less than 100,000. The numbers have been coming down because of social distancing is working. Host can you look ahead at hotspots like new york city and miami and in Nursing Homes . How do you incorporate that into your data . Dr
Joining us from seattle, washington. Officerhief strategy for the Health Initiative and a professor of Global Health at the institute for Health Metrics and evaluation. Dr. Ali mokdad. Thank you for being with us. It is a pleasure. Host as you look at the trends tonight, what do they tell you . Dr. Mokdad we peaked on april 10 and they are coming down for the whole country but there are states that are still going up and others are going down. Host how do you do your study . What is the methodology . Dr. Mokdad we decided to model mortality on a daily basis and death rate and we used experience we have seen in wuhan, italy, and spain. We reversed the mortality how many beds we will need in the hospital and how many ventilators. We know in the United States for every death how many patients were admitted. Host at one point there was an expectation we could have 230,000 deaths and that number has come down, correct . Dr. Mokdad true. Our numbers have always been less than 100,000. First
Walk us through the day. Romaine two things. First, it started with all eyes on washington, waiting to get that almost 2 trillion stimulus package. Summoning some encouraging some some encouraging signals from leaders that this was being worked out. Then we could potentially get a vote today in the senate. Then, it would go to the house. We had the president about effectively reopening the economy by easterday in the u. S. , less than three weeks away. A lot of people took that as an encouraging sign that Economic Activity would at least start to normalize. We saw the s p rally big time. The dow jones had its best day going back to 1933. I know none of us are old enough to remember what was going on in 1933. On that date we had the big rally in the dow, that was just two days after we had that first fireside chat from fdr and he sort of put some optimism back into the economy about what the government was going to do. We are seeing sort of shades of that here where the market is sort o
Shutdown of schools during the Global Pandemic. Around the world continues to be called off all played behind closed doors. Much of brazils medical famous for holding nearly 200000 fans in a world cup final. Now the restrictions are getting tougher across the world as countries try to stop the coronavirus pandemic iran has announced 113 people died in just the past 24 hours confirmed cases well thats nearing 14000 tiran says its fighters being severely hampered by u. S. Sanctions in the philippines the capital manila is sealed off 12000000 people have been told that they cant travel for a month schools. Closed in large events are banned australia has joined the countries ordering travelers into self quarantine as of midnight sunday those going to the country have to isolate themselves for 14 days austria has banned gatherings while france will also restrict Long Distance travel but has gone ahead with local elections Natasha Butler is across the french elections for us out of paris pau
Changing the race for the white house. Im going to go just past sports around the world continues to be called off all played behind closed doors including this couple match a brazilian matic in a stadium once famous for holding nearly 200000 fans in a world cup final. More and more countries imposing restrictions and they are getting more drastic in the fight against coronavirus within the last hour austria banning gatherings and ordering restaurants to close while kazakstan has declared a state of emergency earlier on sunday the philippines began sealing off its capital manila 12000000. 00 residents in manila being told to stay at home for a month schools are closed and mass events are banned australia has joined the countrys ordering travel. Into self quarantine as of midnight on sunday they have to isolate themselves for 14 days iran has perspire on the 2nd round of parliamentary elections more than 600 people have died on the road more than 12000 confirmed cases but despite concer