Theres some interesting things in the Options Market that could keep the market down for a bit of time. I do think people are underestimating, a, youve got a good economy with a tremendous amount of stimulus coming in and i think that will continue to drive the market higher. Plus youve got a dynamic where the fed has made much of the fixed income market on investable with treasury and mortgages where they are today, when you take the earnings yield well into the 4 off next years earnings that is a pretty attractive asset class and i think it will propel the market higher so election uncertainty doesnt matter much in the near term stimulus talks, negotiations may not. How does that factor in . Its a big call that you make. Youre the one that suggests in our notes today that it mossably could happen or at least start before the election. Yeah. I mean, so listen, the election the election does matter i think what people have started to realize, since the last time i was on your show weve
Lot of panic just yet. Nifty futures in the positive in singapore. But see how other markets are faring. Jakarta coming online. That is 1. 5 lower in indonesia. We are watching chinese stocks under a bit of pressure. As we see shortselling on these local exchanges, reaching a record. Hang seng down 112. Hsbc and Standard Chartered having another bad day. And the kospi as well, 1. 5 lower. As take a look in terms of what we saw overnight. The dollar very much in focus. The biggest gain in three months surged on this haven buying. We see real yields are higher. Those things have stabilized a bit. Did see brent crude actually, wti falling from 4 overnight. Gold is hovering around 1916 and silver really took the biggest hit yesterday with the fall of nearly 8 for silver. Taking a look at fx, with that dollar, we are seeing negative reaction that comes across g10 in asia fx. You see the pound. Cultic concerns back in the forefront. We could hear more from boris johnson. The Prime Minister h
That is a big headache for the ecb that meets next week. Alix one of the worst performing currencies in march. Scarlet is here to look at those. Scarlet a new trend. Alix that is me. Thelet i was hoping for return of summer. Weakness in the u. S. Dollar is index felle bluebird fiverounding up straight months of losses. When you look at who performed better versus the dollar everyone except brazil. Commodity currencies for the biggest gainers. Down 6. 3 rial is down 6. 3 . A note published today says the dollar moved further than the shifting growth expectations would justify. The positioning to get the dollar down has been extreme, but what triggers a correction is not for castable. The feds leadership was more pressure on the dollar because lower rates for longer continue to pound the dollar. Forever and a day is the phrase i like the best now. The fed is willing to tolerate higher inflation to get fuller, higher employment. As much as we use the dollar index as shorthand for the perf
Swapping out pfizer for amgen. Raytheon youll hear later today. The largest oil and gas company with one software play dropping a respected drug company for a descent biotech . Kicking a defense contractor to the curb for an industrial if it makes you scratch your head, youre not alone these changes had enormous impact the dow dipping 60 points and the s p dipped and nasdaq gained 6. 7 in all honesty, these moves made a lot of sense they bring the dow closer to the reality of the new cone economyt the memory of the old. Before i delve into each trade, there is an aspect of the dow like the king to the s p 500 Prime Minister same t simultaneously more prestigious. Only included the dow because i had old investors regarded as the most important benchmark we live in the efts of trillions of dollars and whatever name gets swapped in, there is a gigantic wave of buying and selling. The dow has little money invested in etfs its a big deal if you work for them because this is an exclusive clu
Good morning, im in today for Brian Sullivan lets start off with our your money and the Global Markets are shaping up on this monday morning. The dow will be higher by around 90 or some points. Gaining some ground in the past few minutes. You can see the s p higher by 4 points and the nasdaq rarely an underperformer now you can see implied open lower by 16 points now this is coming after solid gains for the major indices last week more on that in one moment here. Turning to the bond market as well, the yield on the benchmark ten year Government Note or just around 56 basis points the two year note yield about 13 basis points and the 30 yearlong bond a hair below 1. 24 or 124 basis points taking a quick look at the price of gold as well, remember, hovering around the record highs. That key one to watch, the last trade there, gold futures up about three quarters of 1 lets go worldwide karen is in london in the newsroom what can you tell us about the trading there. Seeing those u. S. Futu