it s a really big night in hollywood. it s the 85th annual academy awards tonight. what can we expect when the curtain goes up? and who will walk away with the big prize? and of course who will go home disappointed? tara kaun has an incredible batting average. he s our oscar expert. you re never disappointed. you re an oscarologist. oscar-ologist? absolutely. you and i talk about this all year long. we see the movies. we have opinion being it. i walked out of gravity . and you hated it, correct? i didn t hate it, but it seemed so unrealistic. you say it has a chance. this is very unusual. most years recently we ve known what was going to win.