Fun With Torvik: Disaster Factory Edition
Brian
December 29th, 2020 at 1:26 PM
The terrifying world of Torvik without preseason projections. You can drop the preseason projections out of Torvik by advancing the start date of your sample one day.
You should not do this, the stat persons say. Kenpom once asserted that his projections were more accurate if you left a little bit of preseason expectation in indefinitely, but people were very cross about this and the benefit was small so he didn t bother. We re not even to January, so the expectations carry an appropriately large amount of weight, especially because teams have played far fewer games than they usually do.
i always ask him why. he says the home court advantage is so unfair that their record is always better than they actually are. they went to the sweet 16 four years ago. i love them. they ve lost in the first round the last three times. earlier in the day, wild finishes to kick off the tournament, richmond will play morehead state. yes, morehead state out of kentucky beat fourth seeded louisville. here s how it happened. louisville up two. ten seconds left. demonte harper no way. pulls up for a three to win the game. louisville has another shot but it s blocked at the buzzer. rick pitino calling this one of the toughest losses. that s how they won? yes. tenth seeded penn state playing temple. yeah, temple. talor battle, game-tieing three. 14 seconds to go. temple responds. look at this shot by juan