why does abc want them to win? because abc is democrat and the democrats are laboring under the point of view that gingrich would be easier to beat than romney. now, they say that because it s true that romney is a better candidate for the swing voters. but a lot of the republicans believe that gingrich will summon a passion and a strength that romney won t. and that therefore turnout will be higher. but democrats tend to believe with the republicans in the swing voter area. the thing is, too. i think republicans look at newt gingrich and see how well he debates and say that s the guy that really that s what i mean by passion. look at iowa, i couldn t believe this poll. you have newt gingrich in front by one point. but look at the emergence of ron paul at 21 and romney at 16. who looks worse, romney or newt in this? well, newt because romney doesn t need iowa. newt does. let me say this. i absolutely guarantee that if ron paul is the republican
don t think people know that s in play. he could lose north carolina, virginia. he d still get past 270 electoral votes. where are the areas in florida where you think the president could gain ground? certainly in the polling we were looking at in florida about rick perry, for example, and the social security issues, it looks like the president certainly if rick perry s the nominee would be able to gain ground on the social security issue in florida. is there anything else he could do there? you know, elections in florida really are won in the middle. and it s the i-4 corridor from st. petersburg to daytona, which is really the swing voter area of florida. and that s really where obama s in trouble. those approval ratings among independent and swing voters are just as bad as they are among overall. so he s got a lot of work to do in that range. there s sort of a myth from 2008 that he won with a really hyped-up base and an excited base. he really won because he won independents.