Next, a discussion about National Political party nominations, scandal, and comebacks, as well as rules changes for the 2016 election. This is part of the state of the parties conference. It runs just under two hours. We have four papers to be presented. We hope you will have great interest in what they present. More than anything else, we hope you will have Great Questions because this group of individuals have not only studied what has been, but are giving us perspective of what is to come. I think youll find their perspectives very interesting. About party a paper power and the causal effects of endorsements. Seth is at the university of denver and eric is at the public posse institute of california. I will shut up and let them talk. Whats were here presenting this on behalf of our other co authors. We are trying to come up with a measurement of the impact of a Party Endorsement in a primary, which is traditionally a tricky thing to measure. Study toing a fun case do this. This is t
Nominations i dont have my line in here but you only have a few that are not competitive. Versus incumbent renominations that rarely are these things competitive. Betweennd difference these indicators, democrats versus republicans. There is a distinct party difference for this timeframe. Campaigns contents are bit more competitive overall. Republican campaigns typically are not as competitive. Intraparty trends. This is perhaps the most fascinating thing as far as looking ahead toward 2016 and beyond. Haveratic nominations become somewhat less competitive over time. This is suggesting democratic a couple of things. One, the Democratic Party is a little more unified. It also could mean perspective candidates are little more strategic about calculating their chances and not running, which is also a possibility. Republican nominations in contrast, basically competitive in the 1970s. Ray nagin reagan comes along and you have a great deal of unity in the party and that maybe fragmenting in
Path toward victory is virtually impossible. So while we are winning the ideological battle, and while we are winning the support of so many young people and working people throughout the country, i have concluded that this battle for the democratic nomination will not be successful. And so, today i am announcing the suspension of my campaign. Please know that i do not make this decision lightly. In fact, it has been a very difficult and painful decision. Over the past few weeks, jane and i in consultation with top staff and many of our prominent supporters have made an honest assessment of the prospects for victory. If i believed we had a feasible path to the nomination, i would certainly continue the campaign, but its just not there. I know that there may be some in our movement who disagree with this decision, who would like us to fight on to the last ballot cast at the democratic convention. I understand that position. But as i see the crisis gripping the nation, exasperated by a p
This is station 7. You can see the ambulances lined up here. These are the folks who rush out when that 911 call comes in. In the next 30 minutes weve gotten word well be getting the Daily Briefing from new York Governor Andrew Cuomo. Well get the latest information from new york state. Meanwhile, here in the United States it was the second deadliest day of covid19 so far. So far nearly 15,000 americans have died, more than 432,000 known cases. Thats a jump of 31,000 cases since i came to you yesterday at this hour. Also, another tough day for americas workers. Another 6. 6 million americans filed jobless claims last week alone. That brings the total now since the pandemic started to 16 million in the last week, 16 Million People have filed for unemployment, just to give you some perspective, that is the population of nevada and pennsylvania combined. For everyone who is watching this morning, just a reminder, were taking all the necessary precautions. Were wearing the masks, will be w
Path toward victory is virtually impossible. So, while we are winning the ideological battle, and while we are winning the support of so many young people and working people throughout the country, i have concluded that this battle for the democratic nomination will not be successful. So, today, i am announcing the suspension of my campaign. Please know that i do not make this decision lightly. In fact, it has been a very difficult and painful decision. Over the past few weeks, jane and i, in consultation with top staff and many of our prominent supporters, have made an honest assessment of the prospect of victory. If i believed we had a feasible path to the nomination, i would certainly continue this campaign. But its just not there. I know that there may be some in our movement to disagree with this decision, who would like us to fight on to the Democratic Convention. I understand that position. As i see the crisis gripping the nation, exacerbated by a president unwilling or unable t