Index, measures the strength of manufacturing slips to the lowest level since 2009, everybodys going to freak out theyre worried about a recession. Which is why the dow lost 304 points, s p 5001. 23 and the nasdaq dropped 1. 13 that was last week now this market was due for this beatdown but i also told you that i dont believe were headed into recession. Im standing by that position. But the recession thesis became more compelling today and you need to get your head around it if you want to understand this market so let me lay it all out for you. One place. The single biggest problem behind the recession thesis is the president s trade policy but maybe not the way you think. Trumps towers and chinese exports have done realdamage t the chinese economy. Second largest in the world. As china falters, it is taking the rest of the trading partners with it, especially europe, throwing worries about brexit along with a lack of fiscal stimulus from germany and you have a worldwide slowdown goi
The day after may soon be aokay with your boss. It is wednesday, september 25th. Fbn a. M. Starts right now. Brandnew day. A brandnew day. Lauren it is a brandnew day on fbn a. M. Good morning. Im lauren simonetti. Cheryl brandnew for your money. Good morning, everybody. Im cheryl casone. Lauren it is looking a little better this morning. Lets show you yesterday after House Democrats ramped up demands to impeach President Trump. The s p 500 and nasdaq seeing the worst days in a month. Cheryl taking a look at futures, were seeing more pressure man. We had stabilization earlier in the market. Global markets under pressure. We have further fall for the dow, 72 to the downside, subpoena down 9 andahalf s p down 9 andahalf. Lauren the yield on the treasury stands at 1. 64 . Cheryl taking a look at oil, price of crude is lower again. Saudi arabia continues to repair their facilities damaged in the recent attack, being blamed on iran. Gasoline prices in this country down a fourth straight day
They know nothing after a day where the nasdaq climbed. 30 , although we were much higher most of the day, this feels like one of the moments where the bulls are trying to have it both ways on a bunch of key issues. Thats not good. Some things are mutually exclusive. Today was a goodlooking day that was actually quite ugly yes, the inside didnt lock like the outside. And you know i dont think you should judge a book by its cover. I know hope springs eternal. But today we saw too much hope too much hope springing eternal. And some of these hopes simply cant be reconciled. So they wont work in the end. What do i mean you cant have the bank stocks keep going up while the financial tech stocks also go up its either one or the other, because Portfolio Managers only go all in on fintech when theyre scared to own the banks. You shouldnt have a rally in old tech coupled with a rally in new tech that doesnt work. They tend to trade in opposite directions today you had the soft goods stocks runn
Pound nowing the euro the highs of the session. The cable rate coming in a little bit weaker. Joining me now, Stephanie Flanders here on set with me, and from london, guy johnson. Usst blush for you, walk through some of the results. Guy this is pretty much exactly as expected. The pound is barely budging on the news. The market is pricing and very little action from the boe going forward. It is very hard to call exactly what the outcome of brexit is going to be. I think weve got 10 basis points priced in on the downside by next march. Just 17 by the end of 2020. The market doesnt know which way to call this one. The bank of england is indicating that the risk of a no deal brexit has declined. When a new deal brexit happens, the risk to the economy will be lester medic than having been be lessd for, but dramatic than having been perceived before. The market finds it hard to find credibility. Alix particularly if they go the way of norway. You have to wonder how that works. Talking abou
Maybe actually get something done hallelujah i got to tell you thats how i felt when i interviewed nancy pelosi, leader of the Democrat Party about how she looks at things for now you should know shes hoping for constructive dialogue between democrats, republicans, including the president which is something i pretty much had written off as impossible. [ buzzer ] now before i go into what i heard remember that despite todays sedate action, dow inching up 34 point, s p advancing 2. 6, nasdaq gaining 0. 40 we are on the cusp of an incredibly important fed meeting. The guys that keep buying on tech news like we got today. Im concerned about the fed meeting. If i were jay powell i might want to stick it to the president by saying, theres no need to cut Interest Rates we have plenty of job growth and the only possible slowdown is being caused by the trade war which is very much by design so why should the fed lift a finger to ameliorate the pain . The house of pain President Trump is out the