Expected. I think the bulls managed to escape without too much damage. The dow climbing 80 points. Nasdaq even advancing at 0. 4 . Underneath we have some real erosion going on that was not even pinned to employment. Or the fact the dollar seems to want to get stronger and oil cant seem to get much lift which is bad for buyers. In fact as earnings season winds down were seeing some real bad earnings themes emerge. Themes that are pernicious to the earnings of Many Companies and bountiful to the profits of just a handful. Why dont we use next weeks game plan so we can both hail and eulogize the results. A wholesale shift to companies far more internet oriented than bricks and mortar. Way up at amazon. How about the Battle Ground stock that is wayfair. The Online Furniture company that reports monday morning. I cant wait to see if they confirm abandonment of the Shopping Mall trend that has wrecked so many retailers as we will find as we go through the week. Also on monday, oh, boy, we h
And thats what happened today with the dow roaring 217 points, s p 1. 4 and nasdaq flying up 1. 82 . Think about the sequence of events just over the last couple weeks. First the fed says things arent Strong Enough for them to raise rates, economys not that good. Secondly china putting up very weak numbers. Third, Major Industrial Companies Like caterpillar tell us business has slowed down maybe dramatically. Nonresidential surveys show a pause in building. Fifth, we hear major mineral mining like alcoa, six Delta Airlines just talked about developing wide body airplane. Seventh, that powerful engine of job creation the oil and gas industry has gone almost full stop because of an epic glut in all things energy. Finally, eighth, the c only yesterday we heard the Worlds Largest retailer, walmart, sing the blues. About the need to spend a fortune in order to stop the death by a thousand cuts of weaker same store sales. You put all these together and you get something weve seen happen time
Mining like alcoa, six Delta Airlines just talked about developing wide body airplane. Seventh, that powerful engine of job creation the oil and gas industry has gone almost full stop because of an epic glut in all things energy. A finally, eighth, the only yesterday we heard the Worlds Largest retailer, walmart, sing the blues. W about the need to spend a fortune in order to stop the weaker same store sales. You put all these together and you get something weve seen happen time and time again in opere buyers cut loose from the industrials, and they go for the gusto. They return to their always companys that have hypergrowth no matter what the state of the worlds economies. Er and where is there real growth and corporate revenues in profits regardless of the economy . The first place you look is biotech. Gr this is a sector switched from bull to bear overnight. He its been a oneway ticket to sheer hell for weeks now augmented by fears that the ks democratic president ial candidates in
People were discussing today even as the dow climbed. The s p jumped 4. 9 . We rallied today because people interpreted the horrendous terrorist event in paris as something that will slow the worlds growth further, costing the feds not to raise rate this is year. The hope that the feds on hold turn the market down big. The futures were off last night. Having a huge day despite the tragedy in europe. The pajama traders got it wrong. Todays action was a relief rally that perhaps the fed sees what we see. The big roll over happening in manufacturing, industrial and retail portions of the economy. Lets start with basic industry. Steel, metal. Have you seen u. S. Steel lately . Down 63 for the year. 63. With one of the biggest markets being shut out by low oil prices and with the chinese endlessly dumping steel around the world. Companies underneath him will have a hard time making it. There is an oil and gas Company Ak Steel holding down for the year. Copper prices plummeting in oil and ga
That was easy. At one point today when the indices broke down, i heard a collective sigh. And i was pretty shocked that i didnt get hit by a white flag of surrender after i walked down wall street after the show. But the facts refused to align with negative story. I think today was one of those times. As we saw a terrific rebound in the averages, after a second bout of hideous selling this morning. The dow closing up two points. The nasdaq declining 2. 4 . First, lets deal with the negativity. Its coming from four different directions. Sell sell sell sell. Sell sell sell sell. Worry number one, chinas falling apart. No matter that its been falling apart for ages or the chinese stock market is not creating wealth, many cant handle the stress of waiting for the other chinese shoe to drop after mondays break down. Suffice it to say theres big trouble in big china. Negative number two, the fed has gone from friend to foe. Theres a narrative out there right now, now that we have started to