if the s&p rises, the incumbent party wins the election. it is down 2.1%. if that first model is correct, that points to a donald trump victory. wait. another set of metrics point to a clinton win. from moody s. it shows four economic factors in clinton s favor. one, president obama s approval rating. two, gas prices are low at $2.20. three, economic growth. the jobless rate is 5%. we get a new reading that friday. that is the last big economic piece of news before the election. there is a fed meeting. we have breaking news overnight. a manhunt for a suspected killer in oklahoma ended overnight in dramatic fashion. we ll tell you about it. [ male announcer ] eligible for medicare?