the bottom line, russia is having mobilitization in the south but they could mobile rise in the sonorth and get troops there. and that s access to kyiv. russia lost that battle, four or five months ago, they could retry that battle again. this is what russia tried to do at the beginning of the war and they never got to kyiv. they were pushed back. could ukraine push russia back again this time with so many of the forces deployed here and here? that s the question. those troops were there at the time, they ve been since deployed to the south they have to get more troops back there, use other units in order to keep that thing safe. there is a political consideration for belarus here. it s not so easy for them to say we re all in with russia, is it? the president there is aligned with putin however the people are not aligned with the war and he could have the same internal problems and be overthrown in the country. just give us an update where things stand right now.