something huge is when it s an upset like in 2008 when barack obama upset then hillary clinton. if we see that on either the republican or democrat side, it would be huge. on jeb, i think you ll see him keep grinding away. a lot of retail politics, spending a lot of time in the early states, new hampshire and south carolina, and i think you re going to see him try to do this the old-fashioned way. one voter at a time. amanda, do you want to jump in? yeah. one thing about that, the interesting part of the new jeb dynamic is that a rising jeb, a rising chris christie makes life a lot harder for marco rubio. in many ways they re competing for the same type of voter. the more they clash, the more those three continue to be competitive with each other, marks it easier for a cruz or trump to take the bigger lane. actually i think the two young bucks have been locking horns and we re going to could not seeing cruz and rubio who are so evenly matched, both rookie senators, who are, you
description and is now doing it. i also see him doing much more focus on new hampshire, which i think is smart. you know, as we ve discussed. iowa means something. it doesn t mean everything. the only time iowa means something huge is when it s an upset like in 2008 when barack obama upset then hillary clinton. if we see that kind of thing either on the democrat or republican side, it would be huge. on jeb, i think you re going to see him, you know, keep grinding away. a lot of retail politics, spending a lot of time in the early states, new hampshire and south carolina, and i think you re going to see him try to do this the old-fashioned way. one voter at a time. amanda, you want to jump in? yeah, one thing about that, the interesting part of the new jeb dynamic is that a rising jeb, a rising chris christie makes life a lot harder for marco rubio. in many ways they re competing for the same type of voter, and the more they clash, the more, you know, those three continue to be comp
and they believe that bush has the finances and stature to stay in this race. we re nine days away from the next republican debate. rubio will get more attention at the next debate n iowa he is picking up big fund-raising support since the next debate. if you look at him he is still like 6% or 8% in the polls. can he actually move voters? here is part of his pitch. be careful of politicians who say how many jobs they created when they were a governor, a senator, a mayor. they don t create jobs. citizens create jobs. things look bad for jeb right now. jeb can fix it, new message. it looks awful. more disreputation. best thing you can say about your candidacy if somebody asked you if it s going okay, it s we have the most money. that s the problem all along. he has the most money but the candidate is not something
in the debate, they are making some alterations as to how they re approaching his i hate my job narrative. he doesn t want to attack his rivals is silly. he uses language like that. it doesn t pass the smell test. secondly, marco has a great advantage in this campaign, an amen corner in the press. it is so revealing. the people who rally to his side they want him to be their nominee. they don t say it always. if you watch this knee-jerk defense of marco on the right, it is very, very revealing. lastly, on jeb, his challenge is this. these campaigns increasingly have become defined by debates and press coverage thereof. if it s about those issues, your ground game and your fund-raising and your pedigree, it doesn t matter as much.
voters are interested in buying. so the performance problem that jeb has just gets worse and worse. after every debate if you look at the polling line it goes down. his podium is moving further and further from the center. and a lot of these donors, people on the inside, they ve been hearing from the bush team for months now. it s still early. it s still early. just buckle in and wait. they re getting tired of hearing that. it s 91 days until the iowa caucuses. one year from tuesday we pick a new president. we have to pick the nominees first. bush keeps saying i ll get it. and somebody should write the comeback narrative. i ll be fine. good luck with that right now. should be noted while rubio is widely considered to have won that exchange with bush, he did cancel an event to go vote in the senate last week. so, it s not that he s ignoring that issue. there has to be some concern that his lack of voting record in the senate this year will come back to bite him. so, you know, while