particular race, what were you the numbers you were just saying about mothers turning out? these are mothers are 18% of the electorate, but they re we just got another update. now mothers make up about 20% of the electorate. and jones is winning 66% to 32%. it is really interesting to compare that just compare that to well, that was what i was just going to say. and it s a 9 point advantage for jones. the difference, i mean you ve got a 34 point advantage with women who are mothers and a 9 point advantage for jones who it s not difficult at all. i was just going to ask if we have married women. the republicans usually do while you guys are scouring for those number, there s one fundamental number here, which
than we could ever go alone. sofi. get there sooner. let s get right to an alert. more than half the vote is in. you can see that lead about 28,000 votes for roy moore over this. let s go to john king. 51% of the vote is a significant number. it s not early anymore but there s still 49% to go. if you re sitting in the doug jones headquarters, can you come back, if you re at roy moore headquarters, are you coasting to the finish line. can doug jones come back, the answer is, yes. if he can break not bend the dna. up in this top band of the
substantially. but you know what this is so interesting to me, gloria, this enthusiasm question. at this time in the cycle last go around emily s list had 900 women they were helping. at this time in this cycle, 20,000 women have raised their hand. that is amazing. i don t think the events of the last few weeks are going to diminish that number. no, that s exactly right. a, we need more women in positions of authority anyway. but i m telling you these millennials and these women are going to save our country. this is what gets young people excited but disillusioned at the same time. imagine if we actually had a state party that had actually had the instruct in place to take advantage of in south carolina one of the down
advantage. back with the panel. it is obviously 5% of the vote, it s way too early to tell much. it would be a mistake to leap to conclusions, these exit polls are wonderful tools but they re blunt tools sometimes and they re not awesome right. again, i think the number to continue to watch is this number among college educatd whites, among whom jones hoped to build a larger lead. t than democrats usually get. right now he s not getting the numbers he needs in these exit polls. but we ll see. we re still looking at absentee ballots. can you just talk about these exit polls? we talk about them so much, have so much discussion. how are you they taken and what are their inherent biases?
if that s only 7%, and it s a 5,000-vote margin, if you re in doug jones headquarters, if that margin stays and you get more votes, the math is possible, but if you re looking at the overall map, you re seeing especially up here. david chalian said is there a trump effect, a roy moore effect, call it what you will, but in these areas, he s getting margins. i talked about places where he was underperforming in 2012 and a lot of places where least come back, that s the test right now. will the rural areas overcome the blue suburb part? we re only at 40% here, still math to be done. if you re at doug jones headquarters, when that number goes up, you need to seek not only this margin staying in that ballpark, but the raw number. you need a big turnout to offset what s still to come in. have the margins changed?