Earnings could well determine whether we get that late summer swoon or, josh, perhaps a surge. Do you think people are too negative today on where the market is . I think we probably need some new tools to measure whats going on in the economy. If youre looking at commodities and saying this is representative, then youre ignoring the fact both Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples are within pennies of new record highs. And the fact that those two things can happen concurrently, this massive downtrend in Commodity Prices and this huge uptrend in what the consumer wants to do with their disposable cash is like a non sequitur of commodities being a leading indicator. The fact is theyre global now. Theyre not a good leading indicator for the u. S. The real economy, 70 of which is the u. S. Consumer, is doing just fine. Not great. Not gangbusters, but household formation is happening. Were building and buying homes and people are out in the stores and restaurants. Go out on a saturda
Me. 13 for the s p. 38 for the nasdaq. Thats. 66 . Russell 2000 down more than 1 . Lets check in with simon at the big board. I mean it is the Energy Stocks that are taking it on the chin here at the moment. That sector down almost 2 trading just above 45 a barrel on crude under a huge amount of pressure. Transocean, southwestern, chesapeake, chevron, many of those are not adjusting correction but arguably in a bear market. Bob pisani is here to talk us through the action. Slower Global Growth in china, slower Global Growth in latin america, particularly brazil. The commodities complex, new lows in exxon, new lows in chevron. Thats why the dow is underperforming the rest of the market. Conocophillips, devon energy, a halfadozen big energy names again at 52week lows. Were seeing some new lows in other commodity stocks. Groups. Ael key with a is at a 52week low. Freeport mcmoran in the copper area also at a 52week low. Another reason that were having a problem is big global companies, th
Night. And exxon breaking below the twoday average but taylor swift in have been aty fair prizing the company. At least its still above the ipo price. Earnings coach with a pretty good beat. Cvs plagued by disappointing guidance. In china, investors must wait one day to cover positions and pay back loans to buy shares. This comes one day after the u. S. Shares fell. Shanghai managed 3 . Come firms saying were out, for short selling. This lasts for what i feel that the Chinese Government honestly, i dont think theyre idiots. They watch our show and understand things and they recognize the market has gone lower. Lets make it go lower at a slower pace. I think people are presuming the government is trying to prop it up. I think the government is saying listen, this is your chance to get out. We screwed up. Were trying to be in correction course. Its a totalitarian government. Theres not an election. If there was an election theyd throw them out. Thats not it. They have a fiveyear con fab,
A new report to his clients. Hes here with us at post 9 to share it with us and share it with you. Laszlo, nice to see you again. The front cover says it all ill hold it up, as the big reveal, 3200 on the s p. When and how . Most people dont realize that were now in the second great greatest s p rally in history and were actually ahead of the 1990 rally. And if the the market continues to gain 11 basis points a day as it has for the last six years. That two years out or so, were going to be over 3,000. So its more a matter of guidance. Were trying to tell people stay with it dont let the bad news shake you out. We heard all of this before. And theres no reason why we cant go back to as much as 1990. Theres no reason why we cant keep on going. The market feels a little tired, theres news thats been unsettling investors from earnings that arent that great. China, the economy slowing down, the stock market crashing and unsettling people. Theres still the Economic Situation in europe. I co
Thanks, simon. We begin this hour with trading troubles in the market. The three big areas were focusing on macro, fundamental and technical, and dominic chu will lay out the bull and bear case for each. Dom . Theres strong and theres a lot of them on both sides of the equation. Sure. Lets talk about the macro Bigger Picture scale first. First of all, you have at least whats perceived to be some economic strength or resiliency. Maybe not robust growth. Still, in the eurozone and the u. S. , yes, i know the eurozone is stepied at best and may be slipping back to recession but its holding in there and the u. S. Holding it better than most economies out there. Thats kind of the bullish case if you want to see it that way. Take a look at china though. Slowing growth there. Growing faster than any of us out here, but, still, that slowing growth may be a huge case for the downside of chinas economic woes really deepen as the market it your miles condition. Lets take a look at whats happening