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How many lives have vaccines saved? New WHO study comes out with breathtaking estimate

Malaria s modelling problem

Southern Africa wants to eliminate the disease by 2030, but predicting where and when the disease will strike remains a challenge. Southern Africa wants to eliminate the disease by 2030, but predicting where and when the disease will strike remains a challenge.

​​Adaptive modelling for a novel virus: reflections on COVID-19 in South Africa​

​​SARS-CoV-2 is the most disruptive virus the world has faced in the last century. In the absence of previous experience, knowledge of the behaviour of this disease and the impact of measures of control, mathematical modelling and other analytical approaches have played a significant role in the global response to the pandemic. Due to the rapidly changing nature of the outbreak globally and in South Africa, mathematical models were updated regularly as new data became available.

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