kevin mccarthy has no chance to control his caucus. none. my only question, quite frankly, is how many speakers in the house are gonna be in this congress? to? three? for it s possible. i think it s a great point and i don t even think it s guaranteed. but the final question, i think, is, when clinton ran in 96, everyone thought clinton was dead in 94. new greenwich becomes an incredible foil and i need six in that reelection which he trounces bob dole. at the pure level of politics, how much does a house caucus bowed to its most extreme member s help the opposite party incumbent president? the most important factor in 24 will be who the nominees are. that s broadway. but there will be a sense of voters they just said we had better remember yes the democrats did a lot of important things in the last congress but that was more a vote against the republicans than the democrats, what we saw last week. and so they said, we don t want the craziest of the crazy. that s pretty clear.
proxy voting, which means people voting from their home or from their districts. that is very hard to keep a caucus together for a vote. and if he continues to be against proxy voting, it means he needs all of his caucus in person to get things passed. that is very, very hard. so, obviously, the first thing to be, if they win the majority, whether he s gonna elected to be speaker, look after that, if he keeps the caucus together, there are already huge fissures over things like the debt limit, these are all batters, battles. and it s gonna be a massive, massive thing he s gonna be looking at, in the caucus. and that scenario margin. jonathan capehart, you have some thoughts on kevin mccarthy? oh boy do i have some thoughts on kevin mccarthy. look, let s say that republicans do take the majority in the house, whether it was 35 seats or one seat, i contend, and i wrote a column about this, it is going to have a very difficult time because
hears superior to him as a choice. so as soon as folks distance themselves from him they ll boost himself as a contender. do you think that he wants to be a contender? i think half of the calculation, frankly, is a concern about his legal exposure. i think he probably misses the limelight over the governing and the role and the covid task force for example but if you think that he s gonna. run did he go to those a lot? thank you, next, signs of how badly russia s invasion is going. cottontail for the battlefield itself!
still to have the surprise. do you think that s where? well i ve been hearing for sometime that he was going to do it right after the midterms and by the way it took a lot of outside effort to convince him to wait until after the midterms cousin heard hurt republicans i think he wants to be the first out of the gate to announce but i do think that there will definitely be others who challenge the former president. and i think there will be, i have the santas reporting that he may be considering and putting, of that rings true to folks i ve talked to but listen, mike pence is gearing up to run. mike pompeo to, i think is considering it. i think people see the former president as the leader of the party but he s incredibly vulnerable with all his legal issue. when they be weird for mike pompeo, nikki haley to be running against? it s gonna be completely where. it and it ll make no sense why folks are distancing themselves from him now they re gonna have to inevitably do. it i give
for which as you mentioned is the thing that his allies are talking about. it could be potentially an imminent announcement. so they are looking at the mar-a-lago investigation, the investigation surrounding january 6th, running efforts to subvert the 2020 election and trying to decide whether special counsel might be necessary. no decisions have been made. but the idea of course, is that if you are in position with joe biden s justice department. is interviewing who could be the candidate that he is running against. that is the potential political firestorm that the justice department wants to avoid. is it clear how likely an indictment against the president did actually is that this? voice we don t know at that at this point. we obviously have seen these investigations that have been swirling around the former president, we ve seen they ve gotten very close to a number of his allies, and people who have worked with him in the white house. you know, they talked about how cash pate