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Our world’s spate of disasters so recently unimaginable European cities pulverized by war, Earth’s decaying climate or 6 million dead from pandemic disease evokes a national security question: What other “unthinkable” crises must American citizens and policymakers anticipate? A singular threat is warfare around our planet’s one spot where three nuclear-armed states stubbornly contest long-unresolved border conflicts. Largely unnoted in national security news coverage, the conflicts embroiling China, India and Pakistan are growing more complex and dangerous. A USIP study shows the urgency for U.S. policymakers of working to reduce the risks.

United statesUnited kingdomAndrew scobellVikram singhYun sunLynn rustenGeorge mooseDaniel markeyNuclear threat initiativeStimson centerSenior study group on strategic stabilityRising risks for nuclearRising risksBritish empireSouth asiaSenior study group