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Accurate Subseasonal-to-seasonal Arctic Sea-ice Prediction Remains Challenging

A lesson from Arctic sea-ice prediction in 2020: accurate subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction remains a grand challenge

Credit: Photograph courtesy of the MABEL team; Plots by Ke Wei As an indicator and amplifier of global climate change, the Arctic s health and stability is the cornerstone of the stability of our climate system. It has far-reaching impacts on ecosystems, coastal resilience, and human settlements in the middle and high latitudes. The Arctic has experienced amplified warming and extensive sea-ice retreat in recent decades. On 15 September 2020, the Arctic sea-ice extent (SIE) reached its annual minimum, which, based on data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, was about 3.74 million km 2 (1.44 million square miles). This value was about 40% less than the climate average (~6.27 million km

Accurate subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction remains a grand challenge

Accurate subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction remains a grand challenge
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