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It seems to be a minority view nowadays to believe in Moore's Law, the routine
doubling of transistor density roughly every couple of years, or even the much
gentler claim, that There's Plenty [more] Room at the Bottom. There's even a
quip for it: the number of people predicting the death of Moore's law doubles
every two years. This is not merely a populist view by the uninformed. Jensen
Huang, CEO of NVIDIA, a GPU company, has talked about Moore's Law failing.
"Moore's Law used to grow at 10x every five years [and] 100x every 10 years,"
Huang said during a Q&A panel with a small group of reporters and analysts at
CES 2019. "Right now Moore's Law is growing a few percent every year. Every 10
years maybe only 2s. . So Moore's Law has finished."
More academically, the International Roadmap for Devices and Systems, IRDS,
warns that logic scaling is nearing certain fundamental limits.
After the “1.5nm” logic node goes