On the buy side, lower interest rates and an extreme imbalance between supply and demand is supporting the municipal market's positive tone, according to JB Golden, executive director and portfolio manager at Advisors Asset Management.
The 2023 "January effect" seems to be "displaying typical behavior given relatively thin issuance this month and demand patterns that have been buoyed by four of six reinvestment needs," said Jeff Lipton, managing director of credit research at Oppenheimer Inc.
Demand for muni bonds has slowly started make a comeback, with Jason Wong, vice president of municipals at AmeriVet Securities, saying, "this demand is a welcome sign to the tax-exempt sector as rising yields pushed investors to the sidelines."
The December Federal Open Market Committee meeting, combined with the release of inflation data, "will test the good cheer currently prevailing in the bond market," said MSCI Research strategists Andy Sparks, Tamas Hanis and Edina Szirma.