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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets European Close July 11, 2024

The stoxx 600 up by 0. 7 . It has not given up gains of yesterday. The ibex continues to outperform. It has been one of the most beaten up during the covid crisis. The s p is down by 0. 8 percent. Crude is still up, trading at 42. 82. This demand expectation goes handinhand with the travel story, but crude stocks in europe are some of the best performers. Oil certainly gaining on a number of fronts. We continue to see what is happening in the bond market, and we watch this very carefully. I think the german bond market increasingly, certainly over the last day or so, feeling like it has been driven by what is happening in treasuries. Treasuries moving up to that 1 mark, having an effect on what is happening in germany. Interest overwith the next few days. It is only tuesday. Alix thanks for that. It was an ugly close yesterday for the u. S. As guy was mentioning, eu negotiators reaching a deal on the longterm budget, expected to add about 2 to the eus economic output in the coming year

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets European Open July 12, 2024

Germany is set to rein in public and private parties. Its inflation rate falls further below zero. The ecb may need to do more. Christine lagarde speaks in 90 minutes time. Disney cuts deep. They will lay off 28,000 workers at its resort business, leaving one of the deepest economic scars of the covid era. Welcome to the program. Just gone 7 00 in london. Waiting for data to come out from the u. K. Economy and some news expected from shell. Lets get to the u. K. Data first. This is the final reading on u. K. Gdp, coming in not far away from where we anticipated it to be. Estimate was 21. 7. 19. 8 percent for the quarter on quarter numbers. These are all negative. A retreat of 19. 8 in the second corner. The estimate was 20. 4 . Thats just a small detail. We are dealing with incredibly large negative numbers. They are very backward looking. The real question will be, how does that data perform . How has the economy performed since the Second Quarter . How will liberal perform as we head

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Quite a lot going on in the markets. Quite a lot going on in the u. S. President ial race, certainly in u. S. Politics with President Trump tweeting i think 25 times yesterday, not mentioning his wife or a lot of the white house staffers that have been infected with covid19 and saying that we should not be worried about it. Certainly, it will play out in the election. European stocks are struggling a bit for direction following yesterdays broad market advance. We are looking at dollar per much study. Other Asset Classes really little movement. Lets get straight to the bloomberg first word news. Heres leighann gerrans. The coronavirus can spread through the air to people who are more than six feet away from an infectious person. That is the latest guidance from the cdc. The agency says this message of transmission is uncommon method of transmission is uncommon and happens in places with poor ventilation. It raises new challenges for reopening businesses and schools. Coronavirus is sprea

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

London. We had that surprising news, a lot of it on how it could up into the markets Going Forward into the november 3 election day. Now, we still know very little about the symptoms, if any, that President Trump has, so that gives us a little indication of what will happen next. I suppose we could see him stop campaigning for the next two weeks if not longer. It could also have an implication for the ballot if something were to escalate. Canpean stocks down, you see s p futures also down, and then vix, one of the measures we look at for volatility, is gaining as the market trying to recalibrate exactly what that means. Now lets get more on the markets with dani burger. Hi, dani. Dani good morning, francine. We see this reaction starting with a gut punch, starting to bleed into the red for the rest of the day. Yes, u. S. Futures are lower, but interestingly, what is doing worse right now are russian assets. The russian stock index down more than 2 , the ruble down more than 1 . Yesterd

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Yes, that is a correction. The dow down only 5 or 6 . That is not a correction. Jonathan correction emits massive rally correction amidst a massive rally. Tom i will get you something from tiffany. Jonathan i look forward to that. Data coming later. Lisa i am very curious to see with the jobs picture will be. To toms point, this is not a fullblown recovery where people are looking at a risk on feel in the markets. We will get the july job openings data, which is the leading indicator for jobs growth. Selling 35, billion of 10year notes. Also today, congress is taking a look at the u. S. China economic and security review commission. Very interesting to hear what the bipartisan proposals could be about legislation to potentially penalize china for transgressions. I really want to emphasize the bipartisan aspect of this. Youve got President Trump coming out against tiktok and wechat, and former Vice President joe biden coming out today with a proposal to levy taxes on u. S. Companies tha

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