Transcripts for MSNBC Deadline White House 20211102 20:00:45 archive.org - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from archive.org Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.
again, i apologize. i m going to write these out for you, but number one, it s the economy. okay, in this exit poll, the economy is clocking in at 33%. number two, this is the one that speaks to what you were just asking about, education comes in at 24%. number three is taxes, that comes in at 16%. and the number four issue in this poll is the coronavirus, covid coming in at 13%. right now, we want to see this is the issue that the youngkin campaign believes is going to allow them to win back voters that the republican party lost, especially up here, northern virginia, right outside washington, d.c., it s been a blood bath there for republicans. in the last 20 years, but especially since donald trump emerged back in 2016. also, the suburbs around richmond as well, republicans lost a ton of ground when donald trump emerged six years ago in the suburbs of virginia.
new jersey s changed a lot. i ran a senate race there back in the 90s and it was considered a swing state. now it s the biggest, densest blue state, and so if murphy were to win north of ten, you know, that s a little bit less than maybe the 16 biden had, i would be less concerned about it. but if it s eight, six, something like that, you re probably talking about similar erosion to which you saw in virginia. again, there s got to be deep data dives by democratic data analysts and political operatives and candidates to understand what happened there. but listen, nicolle, you were asking about psychology and, you know, i do think, listen, republicans, and i think this has always been a little bit the case, but more so now, what has changed is they will say anything. it doesn t have to be true. i also think historically, they re not burdened by i actually can t get that done. democrats i do think take the governing and legislative part more seriously. i think republicans do have an adva
for governor of maryland. we start with chris jansen. what are you seeing and what are you hearing? i covered a lot of off-season races, i don t remember intensity like we re seeing on the ground in virginia today. months ago nobody would have thought this race would be down to a dead heat, but it turned out to be not just intense, but incredibly expensive. most expensive governor s race. more and more ads. having said that, the math definitely favors terry mcauliffe, right? take where i am in loudoun county, we call it the ep p i epicenter of the epicenter of the suburban vote. ralph northam won by almost 20 points here. one of the things that they re looking at closely is can the terry mcauliffe campaign match or come close to some of those numbers from 2017? so the math is there. this is a county, for example,
the ideology of republicans throughout the country. i m only worried about one thing, fixing new skrursy. i have a name you can call me, governor elect. we ll see about that. a recent poll from monmouth university has phil murphy up 11 points. our panel is still here. david plouffe, new jersey does feel important. we look at the races that are close, and they shouldn t be, but murphy s actually ahead, farther than history might dictate he should be, too. yeah, biden won it by 16, so just like in virginia, you want to look at the margin and see what differed between 21 and 20, and some will be new jersey, murphy is running as an incumbent running for re-election in a tough environment. so you re going to take a haircut off biden numbers because of that. you learn a lot. you need to look at both of these races, again, whether you win them, lose them, what the margin is and try to learn what that means for 2022.