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samuel huntington said the moment when you see a transition is when there s a crack within the ruling elite. so far no crack in venezuela by which i mean you re not seeing generals defect by and large, one or two minor ones. why are the generals staying so close to the regime? so part of the reason you re not seeing military pull away, at least we haven t seen it so far, is this is in many ways, shapes, forms a military regime. the ministers, those who run food, those who control the state-owned energy company, those who are in control of governors and other positions, they are all military generals. so the military while maduro is a civilian, the military really controls this government. it s their government to decide to keep or to stay or to keep maduro or not. the other reason i think we re still seeing this coalition of cohesiveness, we haven t seen the cracks, is there are outside players propping these people

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