What s Next for SPACs
With prices, mood, interest, IPO valuation, and deal valuations all coming down, SPAC investors are asking what comes next.
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SPACs joined Tuesday s tech selloff with the average price of a pre-deal SPAC hitting $9.90 that s 10 cents below NAV. It s ironic that in a SPAC market that is much more rational (and tradable) than during peak SPAC earlier this year investors have lost much of their enthusiasm.
Volume across the board has gone down for SPACs with an
average daily volume dropping from 580,000 in February dropping to 104,000 in April. In some ways this is good as the higher volumes were partly a sign of some irrational SPAC exuberance, but at these levels investors will be very worried about efficiently pricing as they get in / out of SPACs.
Apr 28, 2021
Hope for positive deal flow and pops fizzled a bit today as both new SPAC deal announcements received disappointing reactions from the market.
Marquee Raine Acquisition Corp (MRAC) fell -0.3% to $9.89 and
Galileo Acquisition Corp (GLEO) fell -0.5% to $10.02. This continues yesterday s theme of underwhelming deal announcement enthusiasm.
It could still be the case of a back and forth broader stock market, fed speak, and investor attention focused on a deluge of corporate earnings. However, if I m a SPAC waiting to announce a deal based on market conditions then today s results don t instill confidence to move ahead.
Here s a look at how other recently announced SPAC deals ended the day:
SPAC Boom or Bust?
SPAC true believers say the boom is about to begin, but the media says it s over and the bubble has burst. Which is it?
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Apr 23, 2021
After another day of SPAC red,
there are now over 300 SPACs that have common shares trading under $10. This is the real test now for SPAC investors. Believers will see this as the ultimate opportunity to prepare for a SPAC boom and drive hard on the yield + optionality play that SPACs offer. But, for those less confident in the SPAC narrative, and the growing number of pure doomsayers fueled by the media, this will be the ultimate sign of the SPAC market s capitulation.
SPACs Could Use Some Good News
The SPAC market s correction is starting to feel very painful for those that bought during peak SPAC. The next deals and de-SPACs will be watched closely.
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Apr 21, 2021
Tuesday was a painful day for the whole market, but SPAC investors were hit especially hard as there seemed nowhere to hide. 20 SPACs were down over 3%, RICE, THCB, STPK, RSVA, NGA, FSRV, CCIV, and STIC were all down over over 5.5%, and
there are now 244 pre-deal SPACs trading under $10.
The average pre-deal SPAC is now trading at $9.91 which means that there is a lot of opportunity for the yield + optionality play. However, increasingly investors are hesitant to jump in given the feeling that the upside is more limited as deals aren t popping as they used to and both the post deal announcement and post de-SPAC periods are seeing the air let out of the price balloon quickly.