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As at June 25, 2021, about 13 per cent of bank outlooks around the world were negative. That was significantly lower than October 2020 when about one-third of rating outlooks on banks were negative. “In New Zealand, economic trends recently reverted to negative from stable because of soaring house prices. Instructive is that this action reversed our previous move of economic trends to stable, from negative, only a few months prior,” S&P said. “While house price growth in New Zealand has been exceptionally strong, our action in New Zealand could point to the possibility of negative changes in other jurisdictions where it becomes challenging to reconcile house price increases with ongoing banking sector stability.”

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