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Philip Pilkington Aug 02, 2021 10:20 PM ET How, then, might demographics favor Republicans? To answer this question, we must expand our definition beyond the race-and-identity obsession we find in American politics to the far simpler demographic variables of birth rates and family formation. Unlike race and identity, these variables make up the very core of demographic research. Consider a 2017 study by Ron Lesthaeghe and Lisa Neidert. It starts by discussing a phenomenon the authors call the “Second Demographic Transition” (SDT). By this they mean the fall of the stable nuclear family and the rise of more loose-knit forms of family formation. This movement which started at the end of the 1960s was accompanied by the “culture war” that has defined American politics ever since.

United statesLisa neidertRon lesthaegheஒன்றுபட்டது மாநிலங்களில்