mitt romney would be ahead in nevada. it s not the case. president obama is going to win nevada. anybody here think the president will lose iowa? i think he s going to win iowa. and i changed my opinion on that. i thought he was going to lose iowa. you believe iowa. where do you fall? the president. look what this does here. this puts we put it up to 259 so th so then he s is 11 away. anybody thinks he s going to win florida? so you give romney this, florida. colorado, i think it will be the closest state in the country. i agree. where does it go? romney. romney wins. really close but romney. it might all come down to ohio. it may. and virginia we have sitting he here. so this could mean to me as a realistic scenario and i won t make you force these, hiohio, virginia and new hampshire sitting out here. does anybody think ohio is a true tossup? i do.
worse with white voters in ohio than he is even in other states he s in trouble with. how about white men. across the board. you took romney s white vote chair in virginia where he s tied and there s a lot of worry we may not get there in virginia and you apply that to ohio, he d be ahead in ohio. you have to think, does ohio mean a little more which often happens in statistics, or have they turned ohio into a pennsylvania-type state. is this the future for republican candidates future to learn the lesson of this year, if mitt romney loses, if somebody is trying to goad you to bash hispanics in iowa, do you take the bait? they wrote a column called the coming ice age. here s the problem, though. if romney wins, it will be forgotten. if romney loses, there will be a huge debate between the priests and the mathematicians. mathematicians are going to say hey, guess what, if we don t
more in terms of the turn-out model like 2008 or 2004? republicans you talk to, romney officials say we don t need turn-out to look like tuar to win. if it s not 2008 and the republicans and conservatives who we expect to turn out actually go to the polls, we re going to win. number is d plus 7. in 2008, the democrats, obama got seven points higher more democrats than republicans. if i s d-7, obama wins. d-7-plus, obama will win. if it s d-4, or d.3 for republicans, romney wins. you are right. all about what the actual turn-out is. if it s like 2008 romney peel would agree they will lose. but they don t think that is what it will be. so gallup, granddaddy of them all, experienced pollster of them all to do the screen
egregious and shameful events in the history of this country. why you wrote the letter and were you with us on this sunday. 48 and counting to the big verdict, the election day, congressman mike kelly, thank you very much. thank you, guys. steve: exactly 20 minutes after the top of the hour on sunday morning. next up shall the secret to winning the swing state of ohio, and mitt romney mass an edge there that senator mccain didn t have t. brian: sarah palin did something big to make sure that romney wins. we ll hear what she said. new trident layers juicy berry + tangy tangerine is a thrilling, dual-flavored ride to mouth fun-town. but it s not like everyone is going to break into a karaoke jam session. this will literally probably never happen.
that s how we are going to hand it off, directly to matt and keep blowing through shameless plugs. erro lorks, you first. if you want to know anything that s going on with the effects of the storm, you have to watch ny1. not on your cable box? ny1.com. okay, my monday column on time.com about what the markets are going to do if romney wins and if obama wins and it s not what you think. fair enough. kelly? for the women s perspective, the election results and the year of the woman. ivillage.com/ivote. and tom? my guess is that by wednesday morning, a lot of the country is going to say we went through all of this for this? $6 billion. my shameless plug is to anna tuman, her brother, he had gas in his car. he got our guests here willing to pick them up. thank you very much. that s it for this special prime time edition of the daily