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just an incredible man. we all owe him a great debt of gratitude. absolutely. we now go to chief white house correspondent for politico with the playbook. this morning you guys are looking at two very different strategies of how the candidates plan to win on november 6th, mike. well, happy debate day, mika. and wow! what a fantastic crowd there. the two strategies are momentum versus the map. romney has big mo. he s on offense. obama has the map. he s on defense. this piece by glen thresh and jonathan martin points out that the big obama hope is that this is like the spring of 08 in their race against hillary clinton. she had late in the race momentum, but she was stopped cold by electoral map and a superior obama organization. that s the same thing they hope to do now.
and also it never forgets. 33 out of 38 counties in ohio with auto parts suppliers directly affected by the auto bailout. it s made a huge difference. and china s also been a leading indicator, harold, for some time. you remember five months back, you had the governor of ohio whose numbers have gone up a great deal over the past six months, bragging about how great ohio s doing economically, and mitt romney going, don t do that. don t say that. ohio was actually ahead of the rest of the country as far as turning things around. the right track/wrong track moving closer to 50%. and we may be seeing that may still be a problem for mitt romney. i hesitate to embrace john heilemann s point often, but i have to this morning. you ve got to. the car manufacturing issue is so critical. that s why their jobs numbers come down. that has been the most complicated, confusing and contentious issue i would imagine inside the romney campaign because how do you talk about job growth,
slight exception to what you guys just said. the negative advertising, mitt romney did a huge favor for himself. barack obama failed in denver. and a lot of the damage that had been done was eradicated. not all of this, though. and there s a reason why president obama still is doing better in ohio than he s doing nationally. it s because a lot of that advertising has, in fact, worked on the margins in ohio. we re now talking about a very small set of undecided voters. you ask what they re going to do next. i think they re going to try and they re already showing signs with the advertising in ohio can they make mitt romney continue to pay a high enough price for the auto bailout. that could be a high enough turnout. is to continue to hammer mitt romney. that s what their new advertising is doing in ohio. hammer him on opposing the auto bailout, white working-class voters, especially blue-collar women in ohio, very concerned about the economy, hammering romney on that and continuing
but it doesn t really matter. if he wins ohio, by virtue of winning ohio, he will win at least one of the other five. let s take a look at some of the other polls among women voters. take a look at this. the president s lead is shrinking. now down to eight points. it s the smallest lead president obama has had with women voters all year. among men, mitt romney holds about a ten-point advantage. when asked which candidate is better prepared to create jobs and improve the economy, the republican candidate has a four-point edge. last month he had a one-point lead. however, when asked what the nation s economy will do over the next 12 months, only 9% believe it will get worse. that s the lowest number the poll has reported in decades. and when it comes to the direction of the country, 41% say the country is on the right track. the highest number this poll has recorded in three years. so there are a lot of different messages happening here in these polls for sure. there really are. mich
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