History in the United Kingdom as they extend the pandemic watch out to march of 2021. Jon ferro, theres no other headline for me this morning. All of us dealing with this pandemic, and Boris Johnson sets us a new timeline. Jonathan jonathan new restrictions on the u. K. Economy being announced today. We will hear from the Prime Minister addressing the nation at 8 00 p. M. Local time. Those restrictions could last a solid six months. Lets get straight to the price action to give people a feel of how things have turned around in the last 30 minutes or so. Equity futures were positive, now slightly negative. In the fx market, the pound was positive. It is now slightly negative. In the bond market, yields were up by almost a basis point. 0. 67 . Y are unchanged at it is a subtle shift, but a reminder of the difficult moment we have ahead of us as we go deeper into the end of the year. Tom so much going on here. We welcome all of you on Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio across americ
Moderately above 2 inflation, moderately is what it says in the statement but does not define exactly what moderately means. There are two centers to this action, Robert Kaplan wants to see the statement to the way it was pretty wants to statement to read the economy or stance will remain the same until the economy has weathered the storm and the economic storm we have here. Well cash on the other side dissented because he wants more dovish language in this. On implement rates, statistics are very interesting here. They have reduced now the planet rates rates and estimation of this year to 7. 6 by the end of 2020 grid that is down from 9. 3 from their june projection and then also 5. 5 from on a plummet rates in 2021, 4. 6 and 2022 and 4 in 2023. The real gdp prediction cut in half for the losses they are paired they are now saying its a loss of 3. 7 at the end of this year with a bounce back of 4 next year. The inflation, fed estimates that pce inflation is 1. 2 this year up from 1. 7
Last month was a huge bounce in this number, up by 24. 7 . The perimeter is that much greater. Coming introng number on the Manufacturing Index as well. At 21. Through alix a really strong number. The big news of the day in the u. S. , it jay powell and Steven Mnuchin will speak before the House Financial Services committee. Powell will stick to his call for more fiscal aid. It comes against the backdrop of a darkening prospect for continuing stimulus. The latest news is mitt romney says he will back a vote on trumps pick this year. Joining us now is Emily Wilkins. Does this make stimulus more or less likely. It feels like the pendulum shifted towards the republicans with the Supreme Court nominee. Emily this makes the stimulus funding less likely to come before the election. Both sides werent making a lot of progress anyway. For monthsighting over the amount of funding. Both Speaker Pelosi and Senate Majority leader Mitch Mcconnell are really not budging. It senate is going to pit of
Help, food aid. Yes, they are still talking. Investors like the idea of many more trillions poured into the economy, but it aint a done deal yet. The political world really cant stop talking about the debate. The president says he won. He, quote, held joe accountable, thats what the president says. Biden says the debate was a national disgrace. The Electoral Commission seems to agree. I they run the debates, and theyre looking at new rules. They agree, they seem to believe and blame the president for the interruptions and insults. Theyre even considering a kill button for the moderator to cut the mic of any offending candidates. The numbers are in. Far fewer people watched than i expected, just 73 million tuned in. Down from 84 million who watched the first debate in 2016. And if you look inside the numbers, the audience dropped away as the chaotic debate kept going. They tuned out. Stay with us for the next three hours, i promise it will be worth it. Varney company is about to begin.
That are against sanctions against iran. And leaked documents outlining 2 trillion worth of transactions and a failure by banks to catch suspicious funds. Its is one bank named and shares fall to a 25 year low. We will come back to hsbc in a moment. A very good moment. 6 00 a. M. Where you are. I am. One 9 00 a. M. Where china and the yuan and the e. M. That whole narrative plays into markets. As you look into the fx story. China will grow and it will be the only g20 country to grow. If youre waking up in the city of london today, you are questioning whether or not we will see another lock down. Radioyor talking to lbc saying he will potentially talk about fresh restrictions today and we have the u. K. Chief medical officer saying the u. K. Is at a critical point. A balancing act for the government. What do you do with restrictions while maintaining the economy . Indy. Indeed. Setting the bank of england on a different path for a status quo mission. Bifurcatione is a and i do like that