not getting any word of whether or not this rally will be rescheduled before the election. and i know you got some early-ballot return numbers. what do they show? you know, this is very interesting and i want to emphasize that one word you just used, early. and the reason why is because we are looking at only about 13% of the ballots being returned. this is from the pdi, political data incorporated. it is a democratic tracking firm. so with 13% of the ballots returned so far because the mail-in ballots are out, 55% of those ballots returned are from democrats. 23%, republican. 22%, independent. it is a reminder, anderson, that the numbers are on the side for the governor of this state and for the democrats. that there is a 2-1 voter r registration advantage for democrats and right now, they are looking like they are keeping up. and larry elder, the the front-runner who certainly has the best name recognition in the field of 46 candidates who is looking to replace the governor i
latest. so harris was scheduled to campaign with the governor, cancelled after the terror attack. how badly does newsom need a boost from the white house? reporter: well, it s a double edged sword here, anderson. the last thing glovovernor news wants now fighting for his job two weeks away is to talk about afghanistan. what he is missing, though, by this cancelled rally is he is missing a chance for an optimistic enthusiastic rally targeting the democratic base here in california. he would be able to stand beside the favorite daughter among the base vice president camkamala ha harris. he doesn t get that because this rally is cancelled and we re not getting any word of whether or not this rally will be rescheduled before the election. i know you got early ballot return numbers. what do they show? reporter: this is very interesting. i want to emphasize that one word you used, early.
near term because of the fact that this economy has benefitted from this administration, the stock market certainly given the return numbers has done well under trump s guise. so the reality is yes. while the economy is a tail wind right now, it s probably something that helps him get through the first few weeks of some of these tough talks that we re having so far. you and i talked about the times when the trade situation was good for a china deal, stocks go up. when they look bad, stocks go down. is this the china replacement issue now? might be. i ll tell you what is scary about that, extending that, maybe the usmca replacement as far as the news headlines. that s the scary thing for me, neil. now that we have had the trade wars with china, we ve seen the numbers with trade, now mexico is the number 1 trading partner. we re working on a trade deal with them, canada to the north with the usmca. now we have a lot of trade things going on. if this happens to distract from progress
say you feel so i want to see the actual spending return numbers that will come in january to see how people spent money. it s also really important to see how much business is loosening up capital because that s been the story of the past eight years, business had good earnings and had good profits but reluctant to invest specially in the country because they. facing so much uncertainty, tax and regulation. looks like a good environment. they won t put their money where their mouth is for sure. we have to see a lot of the things that trump has promised into action. we could see 4, 5, 6% growth. heather: there was also another number i wanted to ask you about, the consumer expectations. that s different than consumer-confidence level. that s also up. where you think the economy is going to be going forward, exactly. hopefullness for your family. that s important.