Inflation up to our 2 objective. The fed is expected to hike rates in december and if inflation does not move back to their 2 target, they will have a Pretty Healthy debate about that. Whether or not we get a hike in december depends on where the inflation data goes. On our forecast, inflation will be pretty flat between now and the year ends. If that is the case, they will not hike. The combination of low inflation with slow growth will mean everything goes very slowly. And like i said, they may never get to the terminal point they are telling you that they will get. This is a victory to hand it off to the next fed chairman, a federal funds rate that is essentially even with inflation. The Inflation Numbers are probably not going to derail a fed hike this year. It does matter in the sequencing of events. What comes first, the Balance Sheet reduction or the fed hike . Jonathan and joining me is the head of u. S. Rate strategy at general. Alongside me also is the head of the u. S. Fixed
Inflation up to our 2 objective. The fed is expected to hike rates in december and if inflation does not move back to their 2 target, they will have a Pretty Healthy debate about that. Whether or not we get a hike in december depends on where the inflation data goes. On our forecast, inflation will be pretty flat between now and the year ends. If that is the case, they will not hike. The combination of low inflation with slow growth will mean everything goes very slowly. And like i said, they may never get to the terminal point they are telling you that they will get. This is a victory to hand it off to the next fed chairman, a federal funds rate that is essentially even with inflation. The Inflation Numbers are probably not going to derail a fed hike this year. It does matter in the sequencing of events. What comes first, the Balance Sheet reduction or the fed hike . Jonathan and joining me is the head of u. S. Rate strategy at general. Alongside me also is the head of the u. S. Fixed
Tonight, Hillary Clinton officially accepts her partys nomination, and just minutes from now, were going to speak with one of wall streets biggest backers of the clinton campai campaign, mark lazri. Thats katy perry doing a sound check. Shes wearing a black baseball cap that says hrc for Hillary Rodham clinton. Im assuming you can hear her roar. Right now, in fact. Welcome to the busiest earnings day of the quarter. The dow is down, but apple continuing its solid run. Your big dow laggard right now happens to be boeing, down about 2 . Lets get downtown, and our own bob pisani with a scorecard on earnings season as we officially reach the halfway mark. Bob, how are we doing . The numbers are slowly improving, but still negative. Lets look at the Second Quarter scorecard. The s p 500 as a whole, these are Companies Reporting as well as companies that havent yet reported, what we call the blended earnings rate, down 2. 8 . Thats not good. Its still negative, but its better than it was a f
Meetings and say if we will get dissent. If we do not see process, i pledge another fetched these 42016. Monetary policy on wednesday. The secondlargest public pension plan in the u. S. Portfolioinvestment value at 193 billion. You dont want to miss that conversation coming up. Jonathan treading water. That is the way things are set up. Equities are positive in europe. The taxes moving higher as well. By around. 6 . Eurodollar, it is a snooze fest in the fx market. I will talk about that later. Positive, but just only by. 1 . In the mind the market, a rollover on crude today. Brent back 7 10. We talk about this stealing of the yield curve, jake peavy bonds, and right here in the u. S. On treasuries. Treasuries at the long end, 30 year yields at three basis points. Today, centralbank decision. Alix it is finally going to happen. Lets check in with our Bloomberg Team part indepth coverage. Where one day away from that decision from the fact and the boj. Iswashington as wells fargo chief
Discussing recession yet again today if oil hadnt reversed course and roared back which caused the dow to rebound from down 265 to up 53 points. S p advanced. 44 . Nasdaq gained. 87 . When you look at the link to the price of oil, the idea we could be headed into a recession has become a powerful fiend. A whispered under current in this environment that services when oil take as dive. When oil goes up we stop worrying. When oil goes lower, the story is back on the table. Then i get a second whisper. It goes like this. If we are talking about going into recession, why the heck does the fed feel the need to raise Interest Rates. How can that be on the table . Why are people so worried . So many like to grab a mike and tell us how great things are now. These conversations should be combined to sound like this. You mean to tell me we are going to have a recession and the fed will raise rates or just an out and out declaration. Well have a recession because of the fed. Like this morning the