I am Katie Greifeld in new york welcome to Bloomberg Markets on this friday. You take a look at where the s p 500 stands in trading. Its a red day so far. You can see the s p 500 off about. 6 , slightly worse if you take a look at big tech. The nasdaq 100 off by about. 9 . All the while you can see the volatility rising a little bit if you take a look at the vix. Of course, still at pretty depressed levels, under 15 but getting closer and closer. Im thrilled to say we have a great guest on these markets. We are joined by rob arnott, Research Affiliates founder. Good to see you. Rob good to see you. Katie lets talk about nvidia because you warned in september you saw a big market delusion in nvidia. It was a great company, he wrote, but christ beyond profession perfection but christ beyond if it was perfection that it was priced for then, what now . Rob beyond perfection. Rather than singling out a single stock, its interesting to note that back in 2018, we developed a definition for th
Morning. This bloomberg surveillance. More than a decade since the last one, s p Global Rating the gene the top rating for u. S. Of america. Fitch follows up after the close yesterday with this quote, the written downgrade of u. S. Reflects the expected physical deterioration over the next three years. The erosion of governance relative to aa and aaa rated peers. Whether it is justified, and if it matters, are two different questions. Lisa i would agree as this is the second Major Company to downgrade u. S. From aaa rating. The response arbitrary and based on outdated data. That is janet yellen. Larry summers the idea that it is a decreased default risk is absurd. Here is the question, is there Something Real behind this in terms of how much Interest Rate expenses are going up and like a convention there is on capitol hill . Jonathan theres governance issues u. S. Has that is inconsistent with other aaa rated peers like germany. Lisa i would agree because we were talking about u. S. Po
What it will take for the stocks to shift gears. And a problem with oil. Extending oil cuts through the end of the year. From new york, im alix steel with guy johnson. Welcome to Bloomberg Markets. It has been a pleasure. You look great. It is nice to see you back. We missed you. Guy i am back from greece where it is raining and very hot now in london. I feel like i am doing something right. Alix you made it through the strikes. Guy i made it. I think the story with strikes around the auto sector and with the airline sector, i think they are synonymous. These are industries that have pushed back really hard on their staff over a number of years and they are now paying the price. We have data coming in. We have got the ecb coming up next week. 2. 1 out of the states. Durable goods 5. 2 . That is right in line with expectations. Extransport coming up at 0. 4 . The durable goods numbers are in line. The factory numbers look good as well. I do not think the market will react much. The oil
Intelligence help hedge funds outperform . We will break down the results later this error. Let us check on the markets. The good news is bad news today, the job strength in jobs performs shows job openings were higherthanexpected enemies we are down on the nasdaq at the moment. We saw a little bit of buying yesterday maybe some profittaking. We are looking at the 10 year yield higher by 10 basis points. The 30 year at the highest since 2007, getting calls for a 5 level and we are looking at strength in the u. S. Dollar with maybe a fed having to remain hawkish. This is the strongest the dollar index has been in about 10 months. What does that mean for another key asset . We are up by 1. 1 for bitcoin. There was some buying yesterday so is it profittaking or it looking toward the trial to Sam Bankmanfried . We know he is facing charges that he swindled aliens of dollars from his crypto platform. He swindled billions of dollars from his crypto platform. Tell us exactly the state of play
Losses. Concern about luxuries that again. The bond market has taken something of a pause, but you get the sense investors are adjusting to the higher for longer narrative from the fed. Fed officials saying further hikes are likely. The focus on the Auto Industry in europe on the back of continued discussion about this probe by eu officials into chinese autos. A couple of individual stories barclays a stand out in terms of the upside in the banking sector. This bank listed in the u. K. Upgraded by Morgan Stanley for the First Time Since 2018. Prospects for that lender despite concern about the slowdown in terms of the u. K. Pound down 3 10 of a percent. We keep an eye on the benchmark 10 year in germany. Yields of come in, money has gone in to the benchmark on the back of the news the German Government will be reducing issuance. For the fourth quarter, you did see money coming into the back end of that curve in germany. Alix s p off by 1 . Having a hard time pegging it to a specific ne