president and he takes the littlest thing for them to say, you know what? hopefully not, they re obviously voting for what s best for the party, but guys, throw the senators up on the screen because i want you, sir, to go through these and dicey on corker and flake and walk me through these wild cards. interesting that johnson was the first one out as a no to wisconsin that the state carried. he said he wanted to yes and still could get to yes and a lot of this will depend on what happens in the senate and the house and collins is interesting because these always the most likely no and the most moderate and remember, if they include the repeal of obamacare which is in the senate bill she s definitely going to be a no because she was repealing the obamacare. corker and flake we touched on just with the personal grudges with the president and then you ve got john mccain. who was the thumbs down on that. thumbs down on obamacare, no fan of trump and consistent critic and they have
point is inclusion of repeal of obamacare, provision not in house bill that passed last week and senator susan collins of maine says it s a key issue for her but hasn t decided no yet because she s hopeful it can be changed. i haven t reached that conclusion yet because i think there are going to be further changes but the biggest mistake was putting in a provision from the affordable care act into the senate bill that s not in the house bill and i hope that will be dropped or this is white house budget director mick mulvaney says they re open to dropping it if it makes a difference to passing it out. the white house would love to see obamacare taken apart all at once, bit by bit, however, we can do it. that being said collins vote is critical where republicans can only afford to lose two votes, and one senator ron johnson says he
to $100 billion at the moment. we re headed for 91% debt to gdp in 2028. this would take it to 99%. debt equal to the size of our economy. first time we ve been in this position since world war ii. and then the third point that s really critical to understand is what happens to people who are on health insurance. we stop the repeal of obamacare. we stop the gutting of obamacare, which would have cost 22, 23, 24 million people their coverage. but we re going to do it this way. we re going to kick out one of the legs of the obama stool, the mandate that each individual has to buy insurance. according to the cbo, independent score, 13 million americans are going to lose their health insurance over the next 10 years. and so we have effectively managed to do half of the gutting of obamacare that we stopped a few months ago through this tax bill. noah? one thing that frustrates me
already a number of senators are on the fence about the bill. they will be receiving a lot of pressure to vote against it from outside groups since the senate version includes a repeal of obamacare s individual mandate. it does make it more of a challenge to get it passed. mick mulvaney says the administration is open to leaving that provision out. i don t think anybody wonders what we stand on repealing and replacing obamacare. if it becomes an impediment to getting the best tax bill we can, then we are okay to taking it out. if they are doing any changes to this bill, as long as it still does 3 things. it brings the corporate thanks rate down to 20%. and simplifies the tax coat.
the exchange. after months of a failed effort to get congress to repeal obamacare, trump ended the cost sharing subsidy. when premiums went up democrats pounced. all of the negative things that the trump administration has said since he came into office has affected the market overall. it has made it unstable and created a lot of uncertainty. and that s something that health insurers don t like. republicans point out correctly that premiums have climbed every year of obamacare. last year the average increase was 25% long before president trump took office. as for the subsidies he cut. they were ruled by a federal judge to be illegal because congress never appropriated the money. the only people that should be blamed for obamacare s high premiums over the last four or five years are the democrats who drafted obamacare, passed obamacare and voted for obamacare. lost in all the finger