something through the same day vote. flood of turnout in unexpected surge of support, wasn t picked up in polling. they just want to make sure but i think that s the level. would have to be something very dramatic, very unforeseen and unprecedented to swing these counties anywhere near level of support the recall would need to succeed statewide. san francisco in. again, this is gavin newsom was mayor of san francisco, doesn t get more liberal than san francisco, almost a million people there. recall running a fraction of a point below trump. marin, across the golden gate strait there, super liberal, lot of wealth here. trump 15%.
vote be added in. take for instance, san diego county, math i ve been going through, san diego county, trump ended up at 37.5%. where did he start? 34%. republican vote increased through same day voting, late arriving mail 3 1/2 points. if anything like that happens right now, yes goes up 3 1/2 points, anywhere near its target. i think what decision desk wants to see is same day vote from san diego and few other places, make sure that basic pattern is what we re looking at here. that s the pattern from 2020, 2018, it s well established pattern. if anything like that prevails here, recall goes down in a rout. but they want to make sure there s no surprise where recall doesn t gain ten points or
all of those things were on the ballot this evening. so i m humbled and grateful to the millions and millions of californians that exercised their fundamental right to vote and express themselves so overwhelmingly by rejecting the division, by rejecting the cynicism, by rejecting so much of the negativity that s defined our politics in this country over the course of so many years. i just think of our kids watching all of this, nightly news, day in and day out, and i just wonder, i ve got four young kids, oldest about to turn 12 this weekend, and what they re going up to, world we re so divided, kids increasingly fearful, isolated, disconnected, and we re teaching them that. and doesn t have to be that way. i think we owe our kids a deeper
larger plurality believes is a transfer of power based on fraud. our panel back with us. i wanted to make that point very clearly tonight. we we see it also overlaps with what you re warning about. is there an antidote that doesn t require the cooperation of republican leaders who are clearly going in the other direction? there is an antidote that comes if republicans do badly in california and the recall doesn t. work if virginia if the virginia suburbs show themselves and not disenchanted with administration that they have. had beverage in your race is gonna turn out to be very important because we it will be my core exam. and what happens in northern virginia? biden is president in part because he overperformed among many historically republican groups. he overperformed the southern
became the first to be recalled. now conservative gun advocates are trying to seize the seat of two-term state senator evie hudak. she helped pass laws in colorado limiting the sale of automatic weapons and high magazine systems. while the recall had a chilling effect on gun safety legislation, this next recall is critical. if hudak is removed from office republicans gain control of state senate. to force an election the gun law would need 19,000 signatures by december 3rd. at that point given the conservative makeup of her district hudak could be in trouble. last year she won re-election by 400 votes. the latest recall doesn t have