it could be three, four points, just looking at the projections right now. the raw vote total is roughly 9,000. we had 22,044 write-ins. you talked to chris stirewalt earlier about it. 22,000, that is double the difference. there you see the lead is increasing on the raw vote total, 670 now. just looking at the map, looking where the votes are, it doesn tt seem like it s going to get to that half percent, not even close. more like it s expanding and not contracting. so i think eventually, you are going to see from the moore campaign a concession. shannon: it s interesting because in watching the data we were getting in the fox news voter analysis, one of the groups we were really watchingng were white evangelicals because i think they went by 90% or more for mitt romney in the last big race, the presidential race. tonight, the split was 74%,90
moore significantly underperformed. in fact a couple of them were doug jones won the county. so that is not a good sign for the g.o.p. but there are still some democrat counties that are existing, that are out that you don t know how jones is going to perform and if the numbers don t add up in the raw vote total then that s why it s so close and we can t make the call as of yet. laura: i think it s incredible that there was only 1% of write in votes so far it looks like. you would have thought that with all the publicity for people who didn t like either choice her mother would have been for right ends, but not. people want for either moore or they decided to go for jones despite the fact that a good chunk of people said the allegations, they did find them disturbing. 51% according to some of those exit polls said it didn t really affect them at all. i would have expected mickey mouse to be written in. martha: i would agree.
we are close in raw votes to where we were in 2012. the democrats in 2012, they have a lead in clark county of about 71,000 votes. it s upward of 72,000 now. now, i should say turnout is slightly down and relative to the population because there s about 150,000 more voters in clark county. 200,000 in the state. the raw vote total is really what matters here, credits, and the fact that they built up a firewall, again in clark county and that trump is almost surely by any extrapalation down by clark county. it will be difficult, if not impossible, for him to win the state. the jacob rascon report is back. it does appear the all clear has been getting that very hairy moment, which is disturbing. quite disturbing. it has now passed, and obviously
increasing their lead in clark county, las vegas, by 11,000 last night. 1,000 of it just at that one site there, and i just think it was almost a celebratory atmosphere from what i can tell. we are close in raw votes to where we were in 2012. the democrats in 2012, they have a lead in clark county of about 71,000 votes. it s upward of 72,000 now. now, i should say turnout is slightly down and relative to the population because there s about 150,000 more voters in clark county. 200,000 in the state. the raw vote total is really what matters here, credits, and the fact that they built up a firewall, again in clark county and that trump is almost surely by any extrap las vegalation do clark county. it will be difficult, if not impossible, for him to win the state.
i could tell. so where are we after early voting? we re very close in raw votes to where we were in 2012. the democrats in 2012 had a lead in clark county of about 71,000 votes. it s upward of 72,000 now. now, i should say turnout is slightly down in relative to the population because there s about 150,000 more voters in clark county, 200,000 in the state. but the raw vote total is really what matters here, chris. the fact that they built up a firewall, again, in clark county and trump is almost surely by any extrapolation down by double digits in clark county, it s going to be very difficult if not impossible for him to win the state. i want to note that in reno, nevada, in reno, nevada, in washoe county, where donald trump is speaking after that scare, he s back on prompter. the traveling press is back. it does appear the all clear has been given in that very hairy moment which was disturbing,