Press release content from Business Wire. The AP news staff was not involved in its creation.
KBRA Releases Research – The Price of Uncertainty: Final General QM Rule and Its Potential Credit Implications
January 20, 2021 GMT
NEW YORK (BUSINESS WIRE) Jan 20, 2021
Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) discusses the changes to the final Qualified Mortgage (QM) Rule issued by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in December 2020. We also evaluate the potential effects of the rule on origination, RMBS issuance, and credit risks.
In our view, some of the more significant impacts of the final QM Rule include the following:
An increase in purported QM originations as a result of the broader QM definition including, for example, “Alt-Doc” QM.
Share:
Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) releases a CMBS Loss Compendium, which provides base loss estimates for 266 KBRA-rated conduit transactions.
Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, surveillance has taken center stage in KBRA s ongoing discussions with CMBS investors. This is not surprising given the stress experienced by the commercial real estate (CRE) sector which is expected to continue as the performance of the asset class tends to lag that of the general economy. This is evidenced by CMBS 2.0 delinquencies, which increased to 7.04% as of year-end 2020 from just 0.91% prior to the onset of the pandemic.
Expectations of increased losses can contribute to downgrades. In this report and the accompanying spreadsheet, we provide insight on loss estimates for 266 KBRA-rated conduit transactions. The compendium uses the following two tables to present the loss figures: KBRA Lifetime Base Loss (KLBL), which represents our loss estimate for each transaction during its lifetime
Press release content from Business Wire. The AP news staff was not involved in its creation.
KBRA Releases Van Hesser’s Inaugural 3 Things in Credit Podcast
January 15, 2021 GMT
NEW YORK (BUSINESS WIRE) Jan 15, 2021
Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) launches a new KBRA Podcast series, 3 Things in Credit, hosted by Chief Strategist Van Hesser. Each week, Van will address three topical themes in the credit markets relevant to credit investors. The inaugural episode will discuss the durability of credit in 2021, the economic drag presented by a growing number of “zombie” companies, and conditions driving an active new issue calendar.
The full episode can be streamed
Press release content from Business Wire. The AP news staff was not involved in its creation.
KBRA Releases Research – 2021 Sector Outlook: U.S. Property and Casualty Insurance
January 11, 2021 GMT
NEW YORK (BUSINESS WIRE) Jan 11, 2021
Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) releases its U.S. Property and Casualty Insurance 2021 Sector Outlook. Despite the tumultuous year that included the stormiest Atlantic hurricane season on record, KBRA’s Outlook of the U.S. property and casualty (P/C) insurance sector in 2021 remains Stable.
Insurers’ balance sheets were hit hard in Q1 2020, with sizeable unrealized capital losses, as a result of the pandemic. And while most investment losses recovered in the second quarter, catastrophe losses started to accumulate. The cumulative effect from the record-setting hurricane season, severe convective storms, wildfires, and straight-line wind (derecho) are expected to drive a 3.5% decline in policyholders’ surplus in 2020.
Press release content from Business Wire. The AP news staff was not involved in its creation.
KBRA Releases Research – How Does Credit Break in 2021?
January 11, 2021 GMT
NEW YORK (BUSINESS WIRE) Jan 11, 2021
Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) releases commentary on U.S. corporate credit and how durable we see it being in 2021.
As we head into a new year, credit risk is bid to frothy, if not extreme levels. At KBRA, we have to ask if any of this makes sense. Turns out it does, in our opinion. To be clear, that is not to say that with yields in credit at all-time lows that we believe risk and reward are in alignment. Rather, our view acknowledges that bond market technicals and government support have reduced the relative importance of macro- and microeconomic fundamentals. And we believe this equation is going to hold over the course of 2021, making U.S. credit a durable asset class in 2021.