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Boom and bust: What impact has Covid-19 had on commodities cycle?
Taking a close eye on the mining sector
Matthew Read of Quoted Data
Matthew Re
History shows that commodity cycles tend to be long.
Back in the summer of 2019, Robert Siddles, the then-manager of what is now Brown Advisory US Smaller Companies, joked with me that commodity cycles tend to have ten up years, then 18 down years, so, with the last up cycle starting in the early 2000s, he planned to start looking at them again in 2027.
In reality, the pandemic appears to have moved this date forward. But why do commodity markets have such elongated booms and busts? And where are we today?
Slings and arrows? Yes, but shareholders are still sitting on an outrageous fortune , though Around 5% of SMIT s portfolio is invested in Amazon
April may be the cruellest month but May has been harsh on Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLC (LON:SMT).
The shares have fallen from about 1,260p at the end of April to around 1,090p now, which is a fall of 13.5%.
If you bought Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (SMIT) shares at the beginning of the year around six quid, you are probably not too fussed and if you bought them five years ago at 250p my one question is, what’s the weather like in the Bahamas this time of year?