and that is, that russia made some bad assumptions. they thought they were gonna come in and in 2 to 3 days, this would be over. and, so the supply on their troops, their provisioning, as was talked about before, red beans and bullets, as i say, it these things were not well planned. and so, the thrust, especially in the north, started running out of steam too early. and literally, either took a pause or was forced to take a pause, as they try to figure out how to resupply that large column. they were having more success in the northeast around kharkiv, but still, that turned out to be a fight much harder than they expected. and they have taken some bloody noses when they try to go into the city with armor, and now, they are resorting to their own grozny and old syrian way of doing business. depopulate the city by just
by ukrainian count, it s over 11,000 casualties. either way, this is a very costly war for russia, and that hasn t been priced in. that s going to unfold over the course of weeks and months, really, and that is going to be a growing cause of concern. i do want to make one point about kind of to reinforce from a different perspective, max s point on the actions we should take and being mindful of risk. you know, i tend to kind of lean in and talk about what more we need to do from the provision of weapons standpoint. because i don t think we re doing nearly enough. but on the other side of the spectrum, we should also be aware of the costs that fighting whether it s directly not there yet, we re a far way from it, or indirectly with russia, with regards to economic sanctions, or the provisioning of weapons, how that could potentially spiral and develop in ways that threaten the u.s. more directly. my fundamental view is that this
request of the chinese for assistance. are we going, for example, start to see new chinese trucks or the provisioning of precision guided munitions that the russians expended in the early stage of the conflict that are being built under license in china? we need to keep a very close eye on that because if we begin to see that , it means that the chinese do not fear any potential sanctions because they don t think we re going to do so. that s one big thing i m looking for. number two is belarus. are they going to enter the conflict or is the risk of instability in belarus too great. and lastly, we need to think of ways that we can keep ukraine in this fight. we need to have ways of, for example, repairing all this battle damage to equipment in places like poland or romania and getting it back across the border. and we really need to be prepared mentally and prepared in our plans that this war could go on for many more months.
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