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A Misleading C.D.C. Number
We have a special edition of the newsletter on a misleading C.D.C. statistic.
A Miami Beach officer confronting a man without a mask last year.Credit.Saul Martinez for The New York Times
May 11, 2021
When the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released new guidelines last month for mask wearing, it announced that “less than 10 percent” of Covid-19 transmission was occurring outdoors. Mediaorganizationsrepeatedthe statistic, and it quickly became a standard description of the frequency of outdoor transmission.
But the number is almost certainly misleading.
It appears to be based partly on a misclassification of some Covid transmission that actually took place in enclosed spaces (as I explain below). An even bigger issue is the extreme caution of C.D.C. officials, who picked a benchmark 10 percent so high that nobody could reasonably dispute it.
by Tyler Durden
Tuesday, May 11, 2021 - 04:55 PM
With Trump out of office and Biden now taking credit for all pandemic-related progress, several new studies - some of them picked up by MSM outlets, have significantly dialed back the fear (asymptomatic spread is less common than previously thought, surfaces are actually pretty safe, etc.).
Now, the
New York Times of all outlets is calling out the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) for a bullshit claim that less than 10 percent of COVID-19 transmission happens outdoors.
In reality, it s more like 1% or less, and the
Times nails them on it.
.the number is almost certainly misleading, writes David Leonhardt. Saying that less than 10 percent of Covid transmission occurs outdoors is akin to saying that sharks attack fewer than 20,000 swimmers a year. (The actual worldwide number is around 150.) It’s both true and deceiving.
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