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primary states may matter far more than the nationwide snapshots obviously that we all look at. is that sort of what a lot of these second, third tier candidates are hanging their hat on? sure. broe barack obama changed his life by winning iowa. beto o rourke thought he could repeat that in iowa and spent more time there and he isn t raising much of a pulse there right now. the big thing to look for in terms of warren and sanders is their combined vote total in every poll, nationally and locally, has been 30%. it s been when bernie was out polling her 3-1 it was still a combined 30%. warren is going to try to make an electability case. yes i am progressive but i m also electable. having those three on the debate stage biden is electable, sanders is a progressive revolutionary. warren wants to be both. that is the interesting thing. can she grow that above 30%? can she appeal to people beyond the progressive race? i think that is the biggest question. that is the key thing peopl