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Papers by Niccolò Battistini

Papers by Niccolò Battistini
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Papers by Marta Bańbura

Abstract We derive forecast weights and uncertainty measures for assessing the role of individual series in a dynamic factor model (DFM) to forecast euro area GDP from monthly indicators. The use of the Kalman filter allows us to deal with publication lags when calculating the above measures. We find that surveys and financial data contain important information beyond the monthly real activity measures for the GDP forecasts. However, this is discovered only, if their more timely publication is properly taken into account. Differences in publication lags play a very important role and should be considered in forecast evaluation. JEL Code

Food Production for Improved Nutrition Outcomes for Internally Displaced and Host Community Households in Luuq District, Somalia

INTRODUCTION Background Trócaire is an Irish development agency that works in over 20 countries across Africa (Somalia included), Asia, Latin America and the Middle East, reaching over 2.7 million people across a number of programme areas such as sustainable livelihoods, governance, gender and humanitarian relief.[1] Trócaire’s work is best understood as taking a long-term developmental approach in a complex emergency, creating the conditions for recovery, by linking relief and development. In Somalia and particularly in the Gedo region, Trócaire’s continues to implement quality, sustainable and harmonised health and education programmes to addressing acute livelihood and humanitarian needs. This work is complemented with measured and targeted advocacy to support the opportunities and challenges facing the people of Somalia.

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