A prediction that more than 3,000 Australians will be admitted to intensive care with Covid-19 even with 70 per cent of adults vaccinated has been rejected as a doomsday scenario by a leading diseases expert during an interview with the ABC.
Doherty Institute modelling released on Tuesday showed a six-month outbreak of the Delta strain would kill 1,984 Australians if 70 per cent of adults were vaccinated and 1,281 if 80 per cent were double-jabbed.
The same worst case forecasts 393,515 infections and 14,130 hospital admissions, of which 3,084 would be to an intensive care unit.
But these numbers would only be hit if Australia had minimal density restrictions and partial Test, Trace, Isolate, and Quarantine effectiveness, prompting Professor Gail Matthews, head of infectious diseases at Sydney s St Vincent s Hospital, to say they are not realistic.